JCC Guess The Donald's Resignation Date

He's gonna have a resignation?

 

I think removal under the 25th amendment is as likely (or more so) as anything else. Also, I would be wary of including any method of leaving office that starts with an "a," particularly right now.

 

Guys place don't make me find/rewrite that 7 stages of donald denial with a "You are here" thing again

 

Why would the Donald go? He's America in a person.

 

Yeah, if it happens at all, that's probably the most plausible route. Trump is sufficiently unpopular even with most Republicans that I guess it could happen.

 

Okay, well, to take your thread seriously, and predict a date as to when Trump will no longer be president, I'm gonna say: January 20, 2025. He'll get a second term.

 

Oh well in that case, my prediction is for March 17th, 2039...when he dies of old age.

 

Do you really think he would resign?

How about the date he leaves office or is overthrown?

September 23rd. In the Autumn.

Definitely after the Summer.

 

I'm beginning to gravitate to KnightWriter's "mental instability/incapacity to serve" clause of the 25th amendment.

Guy can't even have a decent phone call with an ally.

 

Mistreating allies isn't new though.

 

True, but apparently he can't even get far enough to mistreat them. Had an hour scheduled to talk to Turnbull and talked for 30 minutes.

Darth Punk, how is he going to interfere with the markets exactly?

 

Don't be ridiculous. Allies are countries that share our values and interests. Countries like Russia...and not Australia.

 

Audited out of office

 

I'm thinking he overdoses on cocaine and taco bowls in year three rather than resigning.

Edit: Oh, right, I need a specific date. September 4, 2019.

 

/\ He still has that sniffing thing.

 

I have my faith in the American people, in the American system and in God that always bless America. So naturally I expect Donald to last a full eight years as president.

 

Jan 20, 2021. He'll finish out his first term, but I predict that within months he'll only be a loud, obnoxious figurehead who spends a lot of time on vacation. The Republicans will use him and let him do just enough of his crazy stuff to distract from their crazy stuff, like screwing with Medicare and cutting taxes for the mega wealthy. They might do something about Bannon--they know they need to tamp down on this alt-right nonsense before the next election cycle comes around. Pence and Priebus (or whoever replaces Priebus after he storms out) will keep the White House together behind the scenes, although it will still be hyper chaotic with leaks and lots of turnover. The global community will learn to ignore his crazy talk the way they mostly ignore North Korea's. Real diplomacy will happen in back channels, much as it already does. Democrats will also use his term to get the younger generation riled up and hopefully improve voter turnout, though given the state of voter suppression and gerrymandering it's still going to be tough to regain many seats in 2018. Lots of progressive values will face setbacks, but popular opinion has changed quite a bit on social issues, so I don't think we're going to be going back in time too far--unless you live in the south, then you're boned, but what else is new. I suspect coastal states will actually gain a lot in terms of progressive policies (really, they already are) and the rest of the country will play catch up in a decade, as usual. It'll be a sucky four years for environmental issues, but let's be honest: we haven't been doing anywhere near enough to actually change course on climate change, so it won't make much of a difference. Trump's supporters will probably largely lose interest within four years. Republicans will be the ones facing an endless barrage of criticism on healthcare and social security and failed promises to reign in spending. Because of that, the embarrassment moderate Republicans are experiencing over Trump, and because of the fact that Trump only won the electoral college due to some 80k votes, I think it's a pretty good bet Dems take back the White House in 2020. They probably won't improve their message much or find any slam dunk candidates, but as long as it's someone reasonably palatable to those disenfranchised conservatives, unlike Clinton, they'll win. (hint hint Elizabeth Warren)

I mean, part of me hopes there's some kind of crazy coup and popular uprising, but this scenario is probably the most likely because it's the most beneficial for the markets. Unless there's a really serious crisis, but even then chances are Mattis and Pence will just quietly lock Trump in a closet for a while.

...That's a really boring answer. I apologize.

 

Next Thursday.