Author Topic: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
chibiangi 
Registered: Jun '02
7447_Han and Leia
Date Posted: 3/12 8:45pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Poor people are irrelevant. It isn't the United States responsibility to feed and clothe Mexico or Mexicans.

And Marshall Plan my butt. The Marshall Plan was to rebuild Europe after it was blown apart in WWII. I don't recall Mexico being in a war with anything other than its internal corrupt government, which again, is not our issue.

If we enforce our current immigration laws, we would significantly reduce the number of people illegally crossing. This is evidenced in the number of people moving out of states where strict employer sanctions and other laws have been put into effect (see Arizona.) Likewise, whenever there is talks of amnesty, the number of illegal crossings increases.

 

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J-Rod 
Registered: Jul '04
19974_Chewbacca
Date Posted: 3/12 8:49pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Princess_Tina posted:
J-Rod posted:
Tina said...What difference would it make if it created a lot of "McJobs" with very low wages and few or no benefits? At least in Western Europe they have universal health coverage, people don't have to worry about not being able to afford medical treatment.

McJobs? Due to the fact that wages haven't gone down compared to inflation until very recently I can't see where most new jobs are "low paying." See, while inflation tends to fluctuate, the rate of increase in wages is more consistant. So the numbers need to be examined from a long term point of view. "Snapshots" are very misleading.

But understand that Socialistic healthcare is not a bonus to a person who can't get a job. You can look at any Ghetto in America and see what too much government interferance gets you. happy


That was a rhetorical question. I have no idea about the actual kind of jobs you say have been created, because you didn't cite your source, or give any additional details. I also would like to know what specific figures you know of showing that wages haven't gone down compared to inflation.



Well, you didn't cite any sources either. So I didn't think it was important to you.

Wages

Infltaion

Now you will see that when you compare the two links that inflation has not kept up with wages. happy

Sorry for the delay. I've been busy and will have much less time here. sad

I now return you to your regularly scheduled topic!

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 3/12 8:52pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread - Date Edited: 3/12 9:05pm (4 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:

All of your solutions seem to focus on what everyone else can do for Mexico. More foreign investment. The US needs to reform its immigration.


Not at all. I'm looking at what would be in the best interest of the national security of the United States. I support a comprehensive immigration reform that is carried out with the interests of America in mind, not with those of Mexico. That is why I support that preference be given to highly-skilled immigrants (regardless of country of residence) when granting permanent residence visas, instead of the current family-based system that has resulted in chain immigration from Mexico.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:

It's not the rest of the world's job to fix Mexico's problems.

Was it the rest of the world's job to fix Iraq's problems?

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
It's Mexico's job to convince others to invest there.

No, every country in the world has to convince foreign investors if they want to receive investment from abroad, Mexico is no different from all other developing countries.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
It's Mexico's job to solve their internal problems.

No, every country in the world has to solve its internal problems. Even developed countries aren't different in that regard. But this certainly hasn't stopped the U.S. from intervening in countries in which it wants to affect the outcome, or has it?

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
Until Mexico starts to change its behavior, what does it benefit anyone else to do anything for Mexico?

There are a lot of countries whose behavior the U.S. doesn't like. And as I said before, the U.S. does have a history of intervening when it feels its national security interests may be at stake.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
What is to stop Mexico from continuing to encourage illegal immigration while simultaneously reaping the benefits of your proposed foreign investment and immigration reform?
Kimball Kinnison

I don't see any incentive to change the status quo in the absence of better conditions, either.

Lowbacca_1977 posted:
Whats comprehensive supposed to mean?


Comprehensive, as I understand it, is commonly used to describe wide-ranging immigration bills such as the last one to have been considered by the U.S. Congress.

Lowbacca_1977 posted:

I'd much rather just enforce the laws, let Mexico deal with its own problems, and undercut the drug runners with American-grown products. May take care of some of the rampant corruption Mexico has if we did that one, as well.


Well, isolationist feelings aren't new in America. But I think the U.S. has made more progress when it has steered away from isolationism. Ultimately, if there is no way to negotiate a bilateral approach, the U.S. will continue to seek unilateral conditions.

chibiangi posted:
It isn't the United States responsibility to feed and clothe Mexico or Mexicans.


Has anyone here suggested that it is? thinking

chibiangi posted:
If we enforce our current immigration laws, we would significantly reduce the number of people illegally crossing. This is evidenced in the number of people moving out of states where strict employer sanctions and other laws have been put into effect (see Arizona.) Likewise, whenever there is talks of amnesty, the number of illegal crossings increases.


Well, then, we've found the solution, haven't we?

J-Rod posted:
Princess_Tina posted:
J-Rod posted:
Tina said...What difference would it make if it created a lot of "McJobs" with very low wages and few or no benefits? At least in Western Europe they have universal health coverage, people don't have to worry about not being able to afford medical treatment.

McJobs? Due to the fact that wages haven't gone down compared to inflation until very recently I can't see where most new jobs are "low paying." See, while inflation tends to fluctuate, the rate of increase in wages is more consistant. So the numbers need to be examined from a long term point of view. "Snapshots" are very misleading.

But understand that Socialistic healthcare is not a bonus to a person who can't get a job. You can look at any Ghetto in America and see what too much government interferance gets you. happy


That was a rhetorical question. I have no idea about the actual kind of jobs you say have been created, because you didn't cite your source, or give any additional details. I also would like to know what specific figures you know of showing that wages haven't gone down compared to inflation.



Well, you didn't cite any sources either. So I didn't think it was important to you.

Wages

Infltaion

Now you will see that when you compare the two links that inflation has not kept up with wages. happy




No, I meant, what is your source regarding the 20 million jobs?

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 3/12 9:03pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Why should the US give concessions to Mexico, when the other option is to simply convince illegals to leave by cracking down on the illegals in the US?

You keep suggesting basically that the US do all of the work in this. That's like saying that the way to get people off welfare is to give them more welfare, and then they will have the incentive to go get a job. It's completely backwards. The solution is to make it more agreeable to them to get a job than to stay on welfare, and once that approach was used in the 1990s, welfare reform actually started to work.

Similarly, the solution to illegal immigration isn't to give concessions to Mexico. It's to create disincentives for people to illegally immigrate. Make it more costly to them to come to the US illegally than it is for them to stay in their country. Giving concessions won't do anything unless you know that they will actually spur changes in Mexico's behavior, and the actions you've proposed don't give any incentive to Mexico the change its behavior.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 3/12 9:13pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
Why should the US give concessions to Mexico, when the other option is to simply convince illegals to leave by cracking down on the illegals in the US?


Well, I'm not making the argument that the U.S. should "give concessions" to Mexico. I'm simply arguing for a comprehensive reform that will update immigration laws with America's interests in mind. There may be particular instances where it would be mutually beneficial for both countries to agree to a "quid pro quo" in certain areas, but I don't think America should change immigration laws with Mexico's interests in mind.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
You keep suggesting basically that the US do all of the work in this.


Not at all. It's very simple: either the conditions exist for the two countries to reach a bilateral agreement that addresses immigration, or they don't. And if they don't, then all the U.S. can do is to address the situation on this side of the border. While I think that a bilateral agreement might be more effective in the long run, if it was carefully negotiated, I am by no means saying it's the way it should be. It could happen, or it could not happen, and the reasons would be mostly political.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
Similarly, the solution to illegal immigration isn't to give concessions to Mexico. It's to create disincentives for people to illegally immigrate. Make it more costly to them to come to the US illegally than it is for them to stay in their country. Giving concessions won't do anything unless you know that they will actually spur changes in Mexico's behavior, and the actions you've proposed don't give any incentive to Mexico the change its behavior.
Kimball Kinnison


What specific actions have I proposed that won't give Mexico any incentive to "change its behavior"?

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 3/12 9:26pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Princess_Tina posted:
What specific actions have I proposed that won't give Mexico any incentive to "change its behavior"?
The comprehensive reform itself gives no incentives to Mexico to change its behaviors.

Mexico already has the obligation under international law to secure its own borders to prevent unauthorized exits into other countries. How will "comprehensive immigration reform" encourage Mexico to live up to its existing obligations under international law?

And remember, that's international law, not some bilateral treaty with the US. Mexico's obligations there are in no way contingent on the US's actions (or lack thereof).

Right now, Mexico is raking in billions of dollars a year from illegal immigration. How will comprehensive reform remove that rather large incentive?

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 3/12 9:34pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread - Date Edited: 3/12 9:37pm (3 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
Princess_Tina posted:
What specific actions have I proposed that won't give Mexico any incentive to "change its behavior"?


The comprehensive reform itself gives no incentives to Mexico to change its behaviors.


That would depend on the actual details of the reform. Besides, what is the incentive to do things any differently as long as the current status quo is maintained?

Kimball_Kinnison posted:

Right now, Mexico is raking in billions of dollars a year from illegal immigration. How will comprehensive reform remove that rather large incentive?Kimball Kinnison


How does the lack of a comprehensive reform remove any such incentive? Has Mexico's government done anything differently after the U.S. Congress failed to pass the latest proposal for immigration reform?

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 3/12 9:59pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
If you want to give Mexico an incentive, you have to cut off the billions of dollars of influx from the illegal immigrants. Once you do that, you make any further reforms contingent upon Mexico's fulfilling its obligations under international law.

You don't start by loosening immigration restrictions (which is what "comprehensive" reform would do). You start by removing the incentives and then you can look at easing immigration policies.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 3/12 10:20pm Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread - Date Edited: 3/12 10:27pm (2 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
If you want to give Mexico an incentive, you have to cut off the billions of dollars of influx from the illegal immigrants. Once you do that, you make any further reforms contingent upon Mexico's fulfilling its obligations under international law.


Well, first of all, it is at best doubtful that any action by the U.S. at this point will completely eliminate remittances. Secondly, even if it could be done, it doesn't mean the Mexican government will do anything differently. They'd already be looking at much greater internal discontent. But that's only assuming that remittances could simply be "cut off" automatically, completely overnight, which is slightly unlikely.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
You don't start by loosening immigration restrictions (which is what "comprehensive" reform would do). You start by removing the incentives and then you can look at easing immigration policies.
Kimball Kinnison


Well, we won't know what a comprehensive reform will actually do until Congress begins drafting it. We cannot assume that any reform that might be passed by Congress in 2009 or later would be exactly the same as the one it most recently almost passed.

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 3/13 6:07am Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Princess_Tina posted:
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
If you want to give Mexico an incentive, you have to cut off the billions of dollars of influx from the illegal immigrants. Once you do that, you make any further reforms contingent upon Mexico's fulfilling its obligations under international law.


Well, first of all, it is at best doubtful that any action by the U.S. at this point will completely eliminate remittances. Secondly, even if it could be done, it doesn't mean the Mexican government will do anything differently. They'd already be looking at much greater internal discontent. But that's only assuming that remittances could simply be "cut off" automatically, completely overnight, which is slightly unlikely.
Will you please stop thinking in absolutes? Who said anything about cutting them off overnight?

Cutting off the remittances doesn't require that to stop all of them. What it means is that you start trying to reduce the flow of money from illegals here back to Mexico. You do this in a variety of ways, including cracking down on illegals who are here, taking steps to discourage more illegals from coming, and attacking the financial transfers themselves.

As you reduce the amount of remittances, it will increase the pressure on Mexico to actually live up to their obligations. If further reforms are tied to that, it provides leverage to induce them to do what they should be doing already.

You see, that is a direct, concrete example of how you induce Mexico to live up to its obligations. You simply keep saying "comprehensive reform", and then don't actually say what that means. What sort of comprehensive reform would actually get Mexico to do what it's already supposed to be doing? Give specifics for what you think would work. Don't give any of this "whatever thy pass will be fine" crap that you've given before. If you think that "comprehensive reform" would encourage Mexico to fulfill their preexisting obligations, then you obviously have some idea of what it would take.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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chibiangi 
Registered: Jun '02
7447_Han and Leia
Date Posted: 3/13 7:00am Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Kimball_Kinnison posted:


Right now, Mexico is raking in billions of dollars a year from illegal immigration. How will comprehensive reform remove that rather large incentive?

Kimball Kinnison


It won't. It will further the incentive to immigrate illegally because they know eventually they will get amnesty on top of the billions of dollars spent by the states on services to illegal aliens and their children.

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 3/13 8:09am Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread - Date Edited: 3/13 8:21am (2 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:

Cutting off the remittances doesn't require that to stop all of them. What it means is that you start trying to reduce the flow of money from illegals here back to Mexico. You do this in a variety of ways, including cracking down on illegals who are here, taking steps to discourage more illegals from coming, and attacking the financial transfers themselves.


There is no precedent to doing this, so it's doubtful that it could work. There are already anywhere from 12 to 20 million people here (many of them from Mexico) and it's far from certain that the majority of them would simply give up. Even if it did work, it would have the most direct impact on Mexico's neediest people, therefore creating even more incentives to find a way to work in the U.S.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
As you reduce the amount of remittances, it will increase the pressure on Mexico to actually live up to their obligations. If further reforms are tied to that, it provides leverage to induce them to do what they should be doing already.


No, because the people in the ruling class aren't being directly affected. They can continue to live in luxury even if Mexico were to go into a deep financial crisis simply by requesting help from the IMF or whatever. It has happened many times before - when Mexico is hurting financially, the poor people are the ones who suffer the most, and those in the ruling class continue to live in luxury. In the most radical scenarios, people might elect a populist leftist if they're desperate from lack of economic opportunity, or if they're desperate enough, start a revolution. You really think Washington wants more instability south of the border?

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
You see, that is a direct, concrete example of how you induce Mexico to live up to its obligations. You simply keep saying "comprehensive reform", and then don't actually say what that means. What sort of comprehensive reform would actually get Mexico to do what it's already supposed to be doing? Give specifics for what you think would work. Don't give any of this "whatever thy pass will be fine" crap that you've given before. If you think that "comprehensive reform" would encourage Mexico to fulfill their preexisting obligations, then you obviously have some idea of what it would take.

Kimball Kinnison


It is not a concrete example of anything, it is wishful thinking at best. If you actually think something like that would work, well, then let's wait and see, but don't hold your breath.


chibiangi posted:

It won't. It will further the incentive to immigrate illegally because they know eventually they will get amnesty on top of the billions of dollars spent by the states on services to illegal aliens and their children.


Did people just stop coming here after Congress failed to pass the most recent attempt at immigration reform? Besides, even if that reform *had* passed, it wouldn't have benefited anyone who hadn't already been in the U.S. for at least 5 years prior to the law being passed, IIRC.

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 3/13 9:48am Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Princess_Tina posted:
It is not a concrete example of anything, it is wishful thinking at best. If you actually think something like that would work, well, then let's wait and see, but don't hold your breath.
If anything is wishful thinking in this thread, it's your constant harping on "comprehensive reform" solving everything.

The problem won't be solved until Mexico actually steps up and fulfills its obligations under international law, and prevents its citizens from illegally crossing into neighboring countries.

Everything you've advocated would only give Mexico the idea that they can have their cake and eat it too. Increase the amount of legal immigration allowed and you will simply increase the flow of people, both legal and illegal. (Unless, of course, you simply remove all limits, making everyone legal, but that is utterly impracticable.)

One of the major goals of illegal immigrants is to remit money to their family back in Mexico. If you restrict or remove that ability, manhy of them will decide that coming to the US illegally is not worth it.

And yes, it might hurt the lower classes in Mexico the most, but that's not our problem. By that same logic, the US should just allow anyone from any second or third world country to come here to send money back home, because otherwise we'd just be hurting the lower classes in those countries, too.

Those people have no right to be here. Period. I agree that immigration policies should be relaxed, but that cannot be done until after to remove the incentives for people to illegally immigrate. No "comprehensive reform" can be effective until after the incentives are dealt with. Otherwise, you simply increase the total flow of people, further straining the US's resources.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 3/13 10:05am Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread - Date Edited: 3/13 10:07am (1 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
If anything is wishful thinking in this thread, it's your constant harping on "comprehensive reform" solving everything.

You're completely wrong there. I don't believe that immigration reform will somehow "solve everything". I think it's an important first step.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:

The problem won't be solved until Mexico actually steps up and fulfills its obligations under international law, and prevents its citizens from illegally crossing into neighboring countries.


Look, the current PAN administration already tried reaching an immigration accord with the U.S., Chancellor Castaneda met with several members of the cabinet during Bush's first term. So it's not like Mexico hasn't tried to seek an agreement that would be mutually acceptable.
Kimball_Kinnison posted:

Everything you've advocated would only give Mexico the idea that they can have their cake and eat it too. Increase the amount of legal immigration allowed and you will simply increase the flow of people, both legal and illegal. (Unless, of course, you simply remove all limits, making everyone legal, but that is utterly impracticable.)


Who has advocated to "increase the amount of legal immigration allowed"? I certainly haven't. I think there should be enough flexibility to any future immigration reform so that the U.S. can deal with labor shortages through guest worker programs, but only when it's in the interest of America. We would be the ones to benefit from such guest worker program, because it would give us other options when there are labor shortages in certain fields that can't be filled any other way. And I think the levels of legal immigration should eventually be adjusted (increased or decreased) depending on the needs of the U.S., first and foremost.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
One of the major goals of illegal immigrants is to remit money to their family back in Mexico. If you restrict or remove that ability, manhy of them will decide that coming to the US illegally is not worth it.


It's certainly possible to drive a lot of the people who are already here further underground, but I don't think the U.S. can really do very much to restrict remittances. When there's a will, there's a way. So it's very unlikely we'll see this happening. If there's fewer people coming in right now, it may have to do with the sluggish economy, so we have to wait and see how the situation changes when the U.S. economy improves.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
And yes, it might hurt the lower classes in Mexico the most, but that's not our problem. By that same logic, the US should just allow anyone from any second or third world country to come here to send money back home, because otherwise we'd just be hurting the lower classes in those countries, too.


Wrong. Anything that could cause great unrest and instability right across from our southern border would ultimately become another problem facing the U.S. globally, if it ever came to that. Widespread violence in Mexico would also make it easier for drug traffickers, and potentially even terrorists, to undermine Mexican institutions and operate with even more impunity than under present circumstances. It is the interest of the U.S. to have stability in Mexico. Having said that, I still firmly believe that immigration reform should be carried out with the interests of the U.S. in mind, and not the interests of other countries.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
Those people have no right to be here. Period. I agree that immigration policies should be relaxed, but that cannot be done until after to remove the incentives for people to illegally immigrate. No "comprehensive reform" can be effective until after the incentives are dealt with. Otherwise, you simply increase the total flow of people, further straining the US's resources.
Kimball Kinnison


Immigration policies should be realistic and should take into account demographic trends in the U.S. This doesn't mean the U.S. should adopt immigration policies that will hurt it in the long run, just the opposite.

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 3/13 10:41am Subject: RE: The Comprehensive Illegal Immigrant Thread
Princess_Tina posted:
Who has advocated to "increase the amount of legal immigration allowed"? I certainly haven't. I think there should be enough flexibility to any future immigration reform so that the U.S. can deal with labor shortages through guest worker programs, but only when it's in the interest of America. We would be the ones to benefit from such guest worker program, because it would give us other options when there are labor shortages in certain fields that can't be filled any other way. And I think the levels of legal immigration should eventually be adjusted (increased or decreased) depending on the needs of the U.S., first and foremost.
You have repeatedly advocated for a guest worker program. Now, unless you are going to tighten the limits on immigration in other areas, the new program would lead to an increase in legal immigration limits, would it not. Seeing as you haven't even mentioned tightening limits in any other areas, that leave one to conclude that you support increasing the amount of immigration allowed.

So, since you advocate a guest worker program, where do you plan to cut back in immigration to make up for it? If you don't, then don't lie and claim that you haven't called for an increase in legal immigration.

Princess_Tina posted:
It's certainly possible to drive a lot of the people who are already here further underground, but I don't think the U.S. can really do very much to restrict remittances. When there's a will, there's a way. So it's very unlikely we'll see this happening. If there's fewer people coming in right now, it may have to do with the sluggish economy, so we have to wait and see how the situation changes when the U.S. economy improves.
The more difficult the US makes it, the less money they will be able to send home. As the amount that they can send home easily drops, many of them will decide that it is more costly for them to come to the US illegally than it is for them to find other employment back home. There are already several news reports (including many posted in this thread) showing that sort of action in areas where there have been crackdowns on illegal immigrants.

Princess_Tina posted:
Wrong. Anything that could cause great unrest and instability right across from our southern border would ultimately become another problem facing the U.S. globally, if it ever came to that. Widespread violence in Mexico would also make it easier for drug traffickers, and potentially even terrorists, to undermine Mexican institutions and operate with even more impunity than under present circumstances. It is the interest of the U.S. to have stability in Mexico. Having said that, I still firmly believe that immigration reform should be carried out with the interests of the U.S. in mind, and not the interests of other countries.
The US can't solve Mexico's problems short of a full-blown invasion and turning it into a vassal state. The only people who can solve Mexico's problems are the Mexicans themselves.

Princess_Tina posted:
Immigration policies should be realistic and should take into account demographic trends in the U.S. This doesn't mean the U.S. should adopt immigration policies that will hurt it in the long run, just the opposite.
Yes, they should be realistic. Your proposals are not realistic because they don't address any of the incentives for Mexico to ignore their obligations. Until those incentives are addressed (by removing Mexico's ability to benefit from illegal immigration into the US), nothing can change.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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