Author Topic: Have we been duped
Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 4/12 8:51am Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Princess_Tina posted:
Kimball_Kinnison posted:

2) No, you didn't answer that. You posted another op-ed. You have basically said that it is unregulated because someone else thinks it was mostly unregulated.


Obviously, you cannot tell the difference between an op-ed and a news report... what I posted is not an op-ed, it is a news report quoting the U.S. Treasury Secretary. And that is just to show that even at the cabinet level, officials agree that non-depository banks should be more closely regulated.
It is effectively the same thing. You are basically saying that because someone else holds a certain opinion, you do too.

Tell me, are you completely incapable of original thought? Because I haven't seen any evidence of original thinking on your part at all. All you do is parrot what other people say. You post op-eds giving the author's opinions, or you post news reports reporting on other people's opinions, but you never actually post your own opinion as based on anything but a house of cards (those cards being other people's opinions).

Don't give me other people's opinions. I can get those from the source just as easily as you can. Give me your opinion, and support it with something substantial. Give me facts, not opinions, as the basis for your opinions. Otherwise, your posts are nothing more than a waste of bandwidth and disk space.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 4/12 8:57am Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
It is effectively the same thing. You are basically saying that because someone else holds a certain opinion, you do too.


That is 100% wrong. It also shows that you didn't actually read the whole post. As I said before, I reached that position before I even read the statement by the U.S. Treasury Secretary. Even if we forget for a moment that Paulson said just as much, my position remains the same - non-depository banks need to be more closely regulated to avoid more situations which will lead to taxpayer-backed bank bailouts.

Kimball_Kinnison posted:
Tell me, are you completely incapable of original thought? Because I haven't seen any evidence of original thinking on your part at all. All you do is parrot what other people say. You post op-eds giving the author's opinions, or you post news reports reporting on other people's opinions, but you never actually post your own opinion as based on anything but a house of cards (those cards being other people's opinions).


The original thread topic is, "Have we been duped?" and I think the answer merits being answered on both an individual and a collective basis. I think it is important to not just give our own personal opinions, but also look a little bit beyond our own personal position and see how other Americans react to the current crisis.

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 4/12 9:01am Subject: RE: Have we been duped - Date Edited: 4/12 9:02am (1 edits total) Edited By: Kimball_Kinnison
Princess_Tina posted:
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
It is effectively the same thing. You are basically saying that because someone else holds a certain opinion, you do too.


That is 100% wrong. It also shows that you didn't actually read the whole post. As I said before, I reached that position before I even read the statement by the U.S. Treasury Secretary. Even if we forget for a moment that Paulson said just as much, my position remains the same - non-depository banks need to be more closely regulated to avoid more situations which will lead to taxpayer-backed bank bailouts.
If you reached that position before reading that statement, you haven't actually given any evidence of that. When you've been asked to back it up, you've simply pointd to other people saying the same thing, not the evidence that would underlie the opinion.

Princess_Tina posted:
The original thread topic is, "Have we been duped?" and I think the answer merits being answered on both an individual and a collective basis. I think it is important to not just give our own personal opinions, but also look a little bit beyond our own personal position and see how other Americans react to the current crisis.
But you haven't been giving your personal opinions, except to assert them. Expressing an opinion in the Senate means more than just saying something. It involves supporting it with facts and other evidence, and logically reasoned arguments.

So far, you haven't done that. You have instead claimed a certain position, and then posted a lot of sources for other people's opinions. Give us some substance to your opinion, or don't waste our time.

This is the same crap that you pulled in the immigration thread. You refuse to actually support your position, but you have no problem throwing links to everyone else's positions of the subject. We want your thoughts, not someone else's. We can simply go to any number of news aggregation sites to get other people's opinions.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 4/12 9:13am Subject: RE: Have we been duped - Date Edited: 4/12 9:17am (3 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
If you reached that position before reading that statement, you haven't actually given any evidence of that. When you've been asked to back it up, you've simply pointd to other people saying the same thing, not the evidence that would underlie the opinion.


Could it be because you had completely misunderstood my earlier statement?

In this thread topic, we are discussing something that is very much subjective... whether or not we have been duped. When one expresses an opinion that is largely a matter of interpretation (how we interpret the facts of what has happened), how do you define if that interpretation is valid? There will be many different interpretations of what has happened here, in regards to the housing & mortgage crisis, and how it has spread to affect credit availability in other, unrelated areas.

It surprises me that you claim you do not see the logic behind the position I have expressed. Widespread bank failures are bad for the whole economy... when you reach that situation, as we have in this case, there is so much more at stake than individual loans. It is unfortunate that when things get as bad as they have now, the government has to step in and bail out the banks. I've already seen this situation closely, because it is very similar to what happened in Mexico in the mid-90's. It basically led to the U.S. having to bail Mexico out, IIRC.

You haven't said, as far as I can recall, what your personal opinion is regarding government-led bank bailouts, or have you? Why don't you give your opinion on this subject? You keep saying people should pay for their mistakes, but what is the cost to the nation's economy of just letting big banks fail?

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 4/12 9:31am Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Princess_Tina posted:
Could it be because you had completely misunderstood my statement?
It's certainly clear that you've misunderstood mine.

Princess_Tina posted:
In this thread topic, we are not discussing something that is very much subjective... whether or not we have been duped. When one expresses an opinion that is largely a matter of interpretation (how we interpret the facts of what has happened), how do you define if that interpretation is valid? There will be many different interpretations of what has happened here, in regards to the housing & mortgage crisis, and how it has spread to affect credit availability in other, unrelated areas.
You determine whether an interpretation is valid by asking a person to define a position, give the facts upon which that position is based, and then have them demonstrate the logical argument (the series of logical statements and conclusions) that leads to the position stated from the facts given.

But you aren't doing that. You state a position, and when asked for the facts to back it up you have routinely pointed to other people's opinions to support it. When asked to demonstrate that there was a lack of regulation, you pointed not to the actual regulations and their effects, but to the opinions of Krugman, Soros, and Paulson to support your own. You can point to "Paulson says it was unregulated", and it is a fact that he saysthat, but that gives none of the underlying facts or logical arguments behind why. It's simply building a house of cards.

Princess_Tina posted:
It surprises me that you claim you do not see the logic behind the position I have expressed.
Logic is a process. You start from facts (and postulates or assumptions) and draw conclusions from those facts. You've stated conclusions, but until you state the facts upon which they are based (and establish the facts as valid), then you cannot show the logic behind the conclusions.

You see, without you laying out the facts and the logical argument, no one else can examine it to see if the argument is valid or not. Until you lay out your thought process, we can't check it for fallacies. For example, if you start by assuming that government regulation is the only way to solve the problem, and conclude that government regulation is needed, you've committed a fallacy of circular reasoning. But if you only state the conclusion (that government regulation is needed), we can't identify the fallacious reasoning.

It's not my job to guess at what your logic and reasoning is behind your conclusions. It's your job to present them in support of your conclusions. That's why responses like your earlier one ("Didn't you used to work for a mortgage company") are so egregious. You are attempting to shift hte burden of proving your conclusions onto others, instead of proving them yourself.

Princess_Tina posted:
Widespread bank failures are bad for the whole economy... when you reach that situation, as we have in this case, there is so much more at stake than individual loans. It is unfortunate that when things get as bad as they have now, the government has to step in and bail out the banks. I've already seen this situation closely, because it is very similar to what happened in Mexico in the mid-90's. It basically led to the U.S. having to bail Mexico out.
Ok, this is the first sign in this thread that I have seen of you providing any original thought. Here, instead of pointing to other people's opinions, you are pointing to an actual historical event and drawing a comparison. This is good. Why don't you expand on it and compare and contrast that situation with the current one? Provide sources on the collapse in Mexico and its causes. Point out both how it is similar and how it is different to what is happening now.

Princess_Tina posted:
You haven't said, as far as I can recall, what your personal opinion is regarding government-led bank bailouts, or have you? Why don't you give your opinion on this subject?
My position is very simple. I have not yet seen evidence that they are necessary at this point. Until I see such evidence, I consider them unnecessary, as I believe that the government should interfere with the economy no more than is actually necessary to fulfill its functions. (And once again, I don't consider other people's opinions to be evidence.)

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 4/12 9:57am Subject: RE: Have we been duped - Date Edited: 4/12 10:14am (2 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:

Princess_Tina posted:
You haven't said, as far as I can recall, what your personal opinion is regarding government-led bank bailouts, or have you? Why don't you give your opinion on this subject?
My position is very simple. I have not yet seen evidence that they are necessary at this point. Until I see such evidence, I consider them unnecessary, as I believe that the government should interfere with the economy no more than is actually necessary to fulfill its functions.
Kimball Kinnison


What evidence could exist at any point that a bank bailout is necessary? Obviously the government already felt it was necessary to step in in the case of Bear Sterns. We can agree or disagree with whether or not it really was necessary, but at the end of the day, the government has the power to step in as it sees fit, doesn't it? I don't think it is required to somehow show evidence that it was necessary to implement a bank bailout.

Unfortunately, by the time we get to a situation like we have right now, it's hard to argue against bank bailouts because of the very real risk that letting a bank fail will lead to panic and to even more bank failures, which ends up being far more damaging to the economy. Shouldn't the government act to prevent a series of bank failures?

In fact, that is what the Federal Reserve was created for:

Just before the founding of the Federal Reserve, the nation was plagued with financial crises. At times, these crises led to “panics,” in which people raced to their banks to withdraw their deposits. A particularly severe panic in 1907 resulted in bank runs that wreaked havoc on the fragile banking system and ultimately led Congress in 1913 to write the Federal Reserve Act. Initially created to address these banking panics, the Federal Reserve is now charged with a number of broader responsibilities, including fostering a sound banking system and a healthy economy.

http://www.stls.frb.org/publications/pleng/PDF/PlainEnglish.pdf

 

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chibiangi 
Registered: Jun '02
7447_Han and Leia
Date Posted: 4/12 10:22am Subject: RE: Have we been duped - Date Edited: 4/12 10:22am (1 edits total) Edited By: chibiangi
Well my totally ignorant, uninformed opinion is that no one should get a bailout that both these businesses and individuals who took advantage of the market should sink. People who did not have the credit worthiness or collateral were given loans they couldn't pay and the housing market was artifically inflated to sky-high levels. My dad purchased his condo for around $75k. At the peak of the market, his same condo was selling for $350+, within less than 5 years of the purchase. That is an insane level growth and growth that would not be expected under normal conditions (eg, this did not turn out to be the latest greatest place to buy.) The median home price in Long Beach, CA is $414k down from around $600k a couple years ago. Who can afford this?

The real estate market needs to correct itself so that the middle class can afford a home again in a class-appropriate neighborhood. And I know you guys are going to pick that last part apart, but I do think that if you are making $75k a year, you should be able to afford more than a 500 sq. ft condo in Watts (random bad neigborhood everyone knows about.)

Thankfully, the home prices are coming down. Hopefully, they will continue to so that people like myself can afford a modest home or condo WITHIN their abilities to pay.

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 4/12 10:30am Subject: RE: Have we been duped - Date Edited: 4/12 10:34am (2 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
chibiangi posted:
Well my totally ignorant, uninformed opinion is that no one should get a bailout that both these businesses and individuals who took advantage of the market should sink.


If it was just a handful of lenders and borrowers, that is probably what would happen. Unfortunately, the size of the problem has become such that the government has to step in to keep some of the nation's largest investment banks from failure. When you have potential bank failures on the horizon, the problem has already become much, much bigger than just a few bad loans... and unfortunately, once banks start getting bailed out by the government, it's taxpayers' money that is at stake.

So, to answer the original question, I think that once taxpayers' money is used to bail out the banks, in a sense we all have been duped. The Federal Reserve was create to ensure that the banking system is safe, sound, and able to respond to a financial crisis.

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 4/12 1:47pm Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Princess_Tina posted:
What evidence could exist at any point that a bank bailout is necessary? Obviously the government already felt it was necessary to step in in the case of Bear Sterns. We can agree or disagree with whether or not it really was necessary, but at the end of the day, the government has the power to step in as it sees fit, doesn't it? I don't think it is required to somehow show evidence that it was necessary to implement a bank bailout.

Unfortunately, by the time we get to a situation like we have right now, it's hard to argue against bank bailouts because of the very real risk that letting a bank fail will lead to panic and to even more bank failures, which ends up being far more damaging to the economy. Shouldn't the government act to prevent a series of bank failures?

In fact, that is what the Federal Reserve was created for:

Just before the founding of the Federal Reserve, the nation was plagued with financial crises. At times, these crises led to “panics,” in which people raced to their banks to withdraw their deposits. A particularly severe panic in 1907 resulted in bank runs that wreaked havoc on the fragile banking system and ultimately led Congress in 1913 to write the Federal Reserve Act. Initially created to address these banking panics, the Federal Reserve is now charged with a number of broader responsibilities, including fostering a sound banking system and a healthy economy.
You are confusing several things here.

First of all, the Fed issuing loans is not the same thing as a government bailout. The Fed is a quasi-governmental organization that gives loans at a certain interest rate (the "Primary Rate" or the "Prime Rate") to qualified institutions to assist with liquidity. This is completely different from a direct government bailout.

Now, in the case of Bear Stearns, the "bailout" takes the form of a non-recourse loan to JP Morgan in the sum of about $30 billion. It is backed by Bear Stearns' non-liquid assets (including the various mortgages). What that means is that if JP Morgan is unable to pay back the loan, the Federal Reserve of New York will assume control of the collateral assets. It is called a non-recourse loan because in the event that the value of the collateral drops below the amount owed, then the lender has no further recourse. Typically, these loans are limited to no more than 80-90% of the value of the collateral for this exact reason.

It's important to note that this wasn't a loan to Bear Stearns, but instead to JP Morgan. Even if Bear Stearns completely collapses, that doesn't mean that the loan will default. JP Morgan is still a fairly strong and diversified institution.

But that's not a government bailout. That is a Federal Reserve loan. As I said before, there is a big difference between a government bailout and the Federal Reserve issuing a loan. It has significant collateral, which is not likely to lose a significant amount of its value. (Bear Stearns did not so much hit a crisis of liquidity according to the SEC's figures, as it did a crisis of confidence. Chairman Christopher Cox of the SEC outlines the relevant data to show Bear Stearns' liquidity in this letter (WARNING: PDF file). As he points out in the letter, Bear Stearns used short-term secured loans to adjust for day-to-day liquidity issues, and once rumors (which were inaccurate at the time) of liquidity problems cropped up, other businesses stopped making the secured loans to them. This then created the liquidity problems that led to the JP Morgan buyout (using the Federal Reserve loan).

So, as I said before, I don't see the need for the government to step in yet. (The Fed is not the government - it is independent.) Until I do see evidence of such a need, I am opposed to any government bailouts.

Kimball Kinnison

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 4/12 1:57pm Subject: RE: Have we been duped - Date Edited: 4/12 2:14pm (1 edits total) Edited By: Princess_Tina
Kimball_Kinnison posted:

So, as I said before, I don't see the need for the government to step in yet. (The Fed is not the government - it is independent.) Until I do see evidence of such a need, I am opposed to any government bailouts.

Kimball Kinnison


The Fed is the government's response to the banking panics that can potentially create much bigger problems for the economy. This we've already established:

Just before the founding of the Federal Reserve, the nation was plagued with financial crises. At times, these crises led to “panics,” in which people raced to their banks to withdraw their deposits. A particularly severe panic in 1907 resulted in bank runs that wreaked havoc on the fragile banking system and ultimately led Congress in 1913 to write the Federal Reserve Act. Initially created to address these banking panics, the Federal Reserve is now charged with a number of broader responsibilities, including fostering a sound banking system and a healthy economy.

So when the Fed acts, it does so, presumably, to fulfill the role for which it was created by the Congress. Technically it may be a quasi-public institution, but the fact remains that it was created to serve the public good by preventing banking panics. It is not, as you claim, an entity entirely independent from the government, although it was set up to act independently to some extent. The Fed chairman is appointed by the President, and the Fed is subject to oversight by Congress. The purpose of setting it with some degree of independence was primarily to free it as much as possible from political pressure. According to the Fed's own FAQ,

[...] the Federal Reserve must work within the framework of the overall objectives of economic and financial policy established by the government. Therefore, the Federal Reserve can be more accurately described as "independent within the government."

Furthermore, it can be held accountable by Congress:
The Federal Reserve's ultimate accountability is to Congress, which at any time can amend the Federal Reserve Act.
http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/faq/faqfrs.htm

Again, you misrepresent the facts by calling the Fed simply "independent" instead of "independent within the government." The Fed's accountability is to Congress, and Congress's accountability is to the American people.

Finally, it doesn't matter that you personally do not think there is any need for the government to step in at this time, because it already has.

Not only that, but Bank of America has reportedly proposed that Congress supply the $739 billion it estimates are needed to bail out the banking industry.

 

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Kimball_Kinnison 
Registered: Oct '01
6249_Veers
Date Posted: 4/12 2:10pm Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Ahh, since you had nothing to add, I take it that you have finally seen the light and agree with me. tongue

Kimball Kinnison

 

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You deserve the wrath of Kimball...- OWM
Why, Kimball... I didn't know you had it in you.- KW
I think that Kimball just made a joke, and a funny joke at that.- Raven
Stupidity got us into this mess, why can't it get us out?
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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 4/12 2:15pm Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Kimball_Kinnison posted:
Ahh, since you had nothing to add, I take it that you have finally seen the light and agree with me. tongue

Kimball Kinnison


Editing snafu. Please go back and read my response happy

 

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anidanami124 
Registered: Aug '02
6973_Duality
Date Posted: 4/12 2:47pm Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Princess_Tina posted:
Yet the problems caused by the situation affect the economy as a whole, it arguably affects all taxpayers the moment it leads to things like bailing out Bear Sterns. So whose job should be to prevent these situations? Isn't there anyone in this country who should be held accountable for allowing things like this to happen? Or do we all collectively say "oops!" while the economy grinds to a recession?



Yeah yourself if you can't control your own spending then how is any one else supposed to? How is it someone else job to bail out people who can't control there spending?

 

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Princess_Tina 
Registered: May '01
14698_Padme
Date Posted: 4/12 2:53pm Subject: RE: Have we been duped
anidanami124 posted:
Princess_Tina posted:
Yet the problems caused by the situation affect the economy as a whole, it arguably affects all taxpayers the moment it leads to things like bailing out Bear Sterns. So whose job should be to prevent these situations? Isn't there anyone in this country who should be held accountable for allowing things like this to happen? Or do we all collectively say "oops!" while the economy grinds to a recession?


Yeah yourself if you can't control your own spending then how is any one else supposed to? How is it someone else job to bail out people who can't control there spending?



Are you sure you don't mean "borrowing" instead of "spending"?

 

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Evil_X_13 
Registered: Apr '08
Date Posted: 4/12 2:56pm Subject: RE: Have we been duped
Hammurabi posted:
We duped ourselves.

 

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