2010 Election Thread - Results

Discussion in 'Archive: The Senate Floor' started by Lowbacca_1977, May 17, 2010.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Ramza JC Head Admin and RPF Manager

    Administrator
    Member Since:
    Jul 13, 2008
    star 6
    I'm more interested in what's going on in Illinois - based on the exit polls, it's looking like it's going to be (In what I'm sure is utterly unsurprising to anyone in this thread) very close.
  2. DarthKarde Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Jun 28, 2002
    star 5
    Why is it?

    A 4 point lead on 42% of the vote is meaningless unless you have a detailed breakdown of where the vote has come from.
  3. corran2 Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    May 16, 2006
    star 4
    Republicans will take the House and most of the Governorships, while Democrats hang on to Senate and, of course, Presidency. The true test will be can the Republicans sustain momentum and do what the Gingrich Gang couldn't. If they can, Obama will be gone in 2012. If not, he will most likely remain and we might see yet another reversal in the House. The next two years will be very interesting, to say the least.
  4. Ramza JC Head Admin and RPF Manager

    Administrator
    Member Since:
    Jul 13, 2008
    star 6
    Anybody besides me excited to see how fast they call Arizona? 1% reporting? 0% reporting? 10% reporting? It's honestly the only interesting part of our senate race, given the polls.:p
  5. Rogue_Ten Chosen One

    Member Since:
    Aug 18, 2002
    star 6
    "Now, what the home team needs to do is hold onto the ball and USE that ball to score more goals than the other team. If they can do that, they will win. If not, they will lose."
  6. Jabbadabbado Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Mar 19, 1999
    star 7
    Yes, Illinois is a nailbiter. Giannoulias has a 1 point lead with 71% of precincts reporting. Quinn has a 4 point lead.

    Ah, my home sweet home 7th district, among the least interesting contests in the nation. Danny Davis has 82.5% of the vote, 80% of precincts reporting.
  7. Espaldapalabras Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Aug 25, 2005
    star 5
    Just watched Senator Mike Lee, oh man you guys will love him so much. I'm actually pleasantly surprised the race was so close, it was 50%-47%, and this where other major Republican candidates were in the mid 60s. The Democrat Sam Granato was a nice old grandpa businessman, but really wasn't the best candidate ever. Mike Lee is seriously overestimating is mandate, and 6 years from now his cut government spending no matter what ideology may not be so en vogue.

    And Rep. Jim Matheson who was considered a safe seat for the Dems may fall. Those Matheson = Pelosi signs plastered everywhere were even mentioned by the main Utah pollster and strategist as a key factor in how that race tightened. Because a guy who votes 60% of the time with Republicans is really just that evil ****** in drag.
  8. KnightWriter Administrator Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 6, 2001
    star 8
    I hope someone makes a chart somewhere of all the new elected reps and senators, because I suspect that a large number of them won't be in office in seven years time.
  9. icqfreak Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Mar 7, 1999
    star 4
    I am truly saddened by the loss of Russ Feingold for Wisconsin.
  10. Jabbadabbado Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Mar 19, 1999
    star 7
    Fivethirtyeight just boosted its HR projection from Jabbadabbado territory (60+ Republican swing) to Lowbacca_1977 territory:


    Edit, and in Illinois, Kirk now has a 1 point lead.
  11. GrandAdmiralJello Community and Lit moderator person

    Manager
    Member Since:
    Nov 28, 2000
    star 10
    Chafee wins in RI. I am very, very pleased.
  12. darthdrago Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Dec 31, 2003
    star 4
    True enough, but that hasn't seemed to hurt Michelle Bachmann and her umpteen gaffes. Seems to me that Palin's various imprimaturs & campaigning for Bachmann, O'Donnell, Nikki Haley, et al is very similar to Bachmann's longtime playbook: righteous anger and a proud anti-intellectual strategy.

    The only silver lining to Paul's and (possibly Angle's) win is that Senators tend to attract more attention than members of the House, which would make their future gaffes (and I'll agree that there'll be gaffes aplenty) much harder for them to erase.
  13. Ghost Chosen One

    Member Since:
    Oct 13, 2003
    star 6
    [face_dancing]



    Manchin won, and it seems unbelievably close in Pennsylvannia, Colorado, Illinois.

    Harry Reid is currently winning in Sharron Angle's hometown. :eek:

    It looks like it will be a looonnnng night. :D



    EDIT:


    Boxer wins in California

    Reid is leading by a good margin in Nevada, including Sharron Angle's home district (Reno) so far.
  14. DeathStar1977 Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 31, 2003
    star 4
    California has been called for Boxer.

    NBC is calling Nevada for Reid.

    Illinois and Pennsylvania for the Republicans Kirk and Toomey respectively.

    Kirk seems like a legit guy, and probably deserved to win. Keeping Angle out of the Senate is a very good thing.
  15. Ramza JC Head Admin and RPF Manager

    Administrator
    Member Since:
    Jul 13, 2008
    star 6
    So we're either looking at a 50/50 Senate or a split Congress? I hope everyone learns to play nice.:p
  16. J-Rod Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Jul 28, 2004
    star 5
    If anything hopefully this'll teach Congress that it isn't nice to put through legislation that we tell them not to. But really, couldn't we all see this coming way back when Kennedy's seat was won by a Republican?

    Now, if Obama starts hitting his evironmental legislation and holds strong to his horrible health care law we can all get together and do this again in two more years.
  17. Ghost Chosen One

    Member Since:
    Oct 13, 2003
    star 6
    Reid wins!

    Looks like the Senate will have 50-53 Democratic seats. The undecideds are Colorado (now leaning R), Washington (leaning D), and Alaska (who knows?).



    J-Rod, a lot of people aren't throwing out Democrats because they've become Republicans or because of newfound philosophical differences. They simply wanted to take out their economic anger on the party in power, but Republicans still have as low or lower favorability than Democrats nationwide.

    Once they see what the Republican House does (or does not do), expect this Republican surge to greatly diminish. Especially since the Democratic Party had almost all vulnerable seats this year, Republicans will have all vulnerable seats in 2012.
  18. darthdrago Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Dec 31, 2003
    star 4
    CNN's calling Pennsylvania for Toomey, over Sestak.
  19. Ramza JC Head Admin and RPF Manager

    Administrator
    Member Since:
    Jul 13, 2008
    star 6
    Now the real game begins: How will the major cable news networks spin this?

    I'm predicting:

    Fox - "What we have, with this House victory, is a clear condemnation by the American people of the Obama Administration's socialist, liberal agenda."
    MSNBC - "What we have, with the retention of the Senate, is rational America standing up to right-wing yahoos and saying 'No. No further.'"
    CNN - "It's like the American people don't know what they want. Like the theme is that there is no theme."
    Daily Show - *Facepalm*
  20. JediSmuggler Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Jun 5, 1999
    star 5
    The GOP will have 10 seats up, the Dems 23.

    The Democrats have to defend a lot of seats, and some of their freshmen only won due to a huge wave. Webb, Tester, Nelson, Conrad, and McCaskill are all highly vulnerable, and Manchin will have to run again for the Byrd seat.
  21. J-Rod Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Jul 28, 2004
    star 5
    Certainly. But a lot, also, have come to understand where the Left-wing wants to lead. And they don't like it. Let's face it, an arguement can be made that even though Obama got much of his agenda through, the economy continues to sputter. All the while he's throwing lavish dinners for himself and his Hollywood leftists. It'ss almost like he doesn't want the trouble to be over. He wants to continue to use it as an excuse to extend any and all "benifits" that he can to keep people suckling the teet of the government. It's a trap. Ask France.
  22. Ghost Chosen One

    Member Since:
    Oct 13, 2003
    star 6
    There will be a fight for the Senate, but these freshmen Senators have made their names known over the last 6 years.

    But my post was more talking about how vulnerable Republican house seats will be in 2012, having picked up probably all tossups in this election

    What do you think the Republican House will work with President Obama on? Manufacturing and Exports? Infrastructure? Reforming No Child Left Behind? Energy Independence?

    We'll see what they think of where the Republicans want to lead the country. They seem to be saying it isn't government's responsibility to create jobs, and many independents who voted Republican this time around may not like what that means in practice.

    I wouldn't say Obama has gotten most of his agenda through. I say he's gotten about a third of it through.


    And I really don't understand this "throwing lavish dinners with Hollywood leftists" comments??? :confused:

    And you really are suggesting that Obama wants unemployment to be high????
  23. Lowbacca_1977 Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Jun 28, 2006
    star 6
    Well, Alaska is a question mark, but it's got 40% write-in and 35% for Joe Miller. That one isn't going to the Democrats trailing at 25% there.

    Going from 178 Republicans, the Yahoo/Washington Post results currently have it as 225 Republicans, which is a gain of 47 seats, with 60 undecided seats still. So if one third of those undecided seats go to Republicans, it will fit in with my prediction on House seats.
  24. Ramza JC Head Admin and RPF Manager

    Administrator
    Member Since:
    Jul 13, 2008
    star 6
    Nah. While I realize it's trendy for folks on the right side of the spectrum to play up how "leftist" Obama is, speaking as an actual leftist I'd say he's pretty moderate. He's moved to the right of where he was back in the primaries, and even back then he was technically right of center. Whereas the true leftist would consider anything short of single-payer health care a travesty of justice (We did and continue to do so, you need only look at the reaction to health care reform), Obama was willing to try and compromise down to... well, the current health care reform act.

    He hasn't try to buy out Wall Street - say what you will about the bailouts, but that's hardly an abolition of free enterprise. He hasn't tried to socialize utilities (Something I wish they would do). Military equipment contracts continue to be run through third parties, he cut taxes for middle class America (Taxes, incidentally, which are too damn low), and, oh yeah, he has continually voiced his support of small businesses and the middle class.

    There are actual socialists in America, they're perfectly nice people even if you disagree with them, and Obama's not one of them.
  25. KnightWriter Administrator Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 6, 2001
    star 8
    There are some angry, angry Nevada Republicans tonight. I take no small amount of satisfaction in that. Even as I write this, there are some phenomenally bitter things being written and said. Ha ha, suckers. You thought Reid would lose for sure and he won yet again. One of the most unlikely re-elections in U.S. history, so far as I'm concerned.

    In general, whatever happens happens. I'll just take pictures and make what I hope is art regardless. I'll continue to be a proud liberal and Democrat and believe that 2012 will be better, as I suspect that a lot of Republicans will end up feeling about Obama the way Nevada Republicans feel about Harry Reid right now.
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.