[HCSF] box office predictions

Discussion in 'Revenge of the Sith (Non-Spoilers)' started by DarthRandolph, Apr 26, 2003.

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  1. SirKnightLord Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 7, 2001
    star 3
    I'm not quite ready to make my predictions yet but I just thought I'd drop a quick two cents about this...

    This movie is generating a lot of interest from people who had none for AotC. The positive reviews will only greatly increase that because its a Star Wars movie. New SW movie + Final SW movie + GREAT reviews + positive word of mouth could equal out to be enough driving force to be more important than the media blitz prior to TPM because despite the fact it grossed $430 million, it still recieved a lot of flack and so-so reviews. Just imagine how much it could have made if it were getting the kinds of reviews RotS is getting right now and people came away from it with very few complaints, if any...

    Just. Imagine.

    Anyway my point is that why I understand feeling the need to hold back giving it $400 million+ predictions, if all of these things fall into place then we could see the first case of word-of-mouth outdoing the biggest marketing mania ever used for that film's predecessor.

    TPM needed media buildup to make that much money. RotS may not.
  2. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Well, here it is. The current version of the large, in-charge, supersized, "Look at the SIZE of that thing!" ROTS predictions list.

    Double-check your predictions. The deadline will be the 18th, so make sure you get them in before then!


    ***Opening 19th May***
    LiamGonNeeson 45
    Nebucchad 45
    GreviousThis 44
    RodentJedi 41
    Darth Tall 40
    Padmes_love_slave24 40
    THX-1138 40
    BarbarianKing 39
    Jabbadabbado 36
    DarthTapion 35-40
    deathstar90 35-40
    darthchickenwing 35
    The Flying Dutchman 35
    Marek the Jedi 34-37
    BauconBatista 34
    Lando_Plenty 34
    DamonD 33
    beedubew 32
    Darth_Ignant 25
    Kesel 15

    ***Weekend 20 - 22nd May***
    mgg1025 130
    GreviousThis 127
    Irish_Ghost 120-125
    Darth_Ignant 120
    Ghost_Jedi 120
    Nebucchad 116
    Darth Tall 105
    DarthGoldblum 100
    Padmes_love_slave24 100
    redsabreanakin 100
    BarbarianKing 98
    beedubew 95
    DamonD 95
    The Flying Dutchman 95
    Jabbadabbado 92
    DarthTapion 90-105
    Anakin_Skywalker021 90
    DarthTapion 90
    BauconBatista 87
    Lando_Plenty 87
    Marek the Jedi 85-100
    darthchickenwing 85
    Wise-Master 80-100
    Darth-Walken 80-85
    JediMasterRegal 80-85
    Moleman1138 80-85
    Bob marley 80
    ___Obi-1___ 80
    Kesel 65

    ***4-day Total 19 - 22nd May***
    LiamGonNeeson 165
    GreviousThis 162
    Nebucchad 161
    RodentJedi 153
    ___Obi-1___ 150
    Darth_Ignant 145
    Darth Tall 145
    thebadge 145
    Padmes_love_slave24 142
    BarbarianKing 137
    BauconBatista 132
    DamonD 130
    Jabbadabbado 128
    DarthTapion 125
    deathstar90 125
    The Flying Dutchman 125
    Lando_Plenty 121
    Binary_Sunset 120
    GrazoTheClown 120
    beedubew 115
    darthchickenwing 100
    Kesel 80

    ***US Total***
    JMZ 750
    WanderingYoda 650-700
    Count_DoodooKuKu 650
    LiamGonNeeson 625-700
    starwarsagent 623,034,021
    Fan-4-Life 550-602
    mgg1025 550
    Monkeyjedi 550
    GreviousThis 542
    lukestarkiller1977 540
    yoda900 525
    thebadge 510
    Addiction 500
    DarthMaul13 500
    darthvader1220 500
    darthvader_ani 500
    GrazoTheClown 500
    ___Obi-1___ 500
    openmind 500
    president_kang 500
    Scharfy 500
    Smooth_Jedi 500
    Duckman 499.9
    CloneCommander07 480
    Nebucchad 465
    beedubew 465
    JBFett 460
    DarthTapion 450-500
    DARTH_CRISPY 450
    DARTH_NAFOD 450
    DarthToeJam 450
    EMPEROR_WINDU 450
    imperial_Jedi 450
    Mynok_Warlord 450
    Star_Wars_Freak_2006 450
    DarthWeenie 432-460
    stormtrooper519 432-435
    Jack1138 425
    anthonymaul 420
    Padmes_love_slave24 413
    dirtyname 412
    QuiGonDad1 410
    Snake_Charmer 410
    Orionsangel 406
    BarbarianKing 403.2
    BLKNIGHT18 401
    Darth_Ignant 400.1
    jaw62901 400-500
    JediRac 400-500
    VanillaZinger 400-450
    Count_Davoo 400-450
    redsabreanakin 400-425
    Arliss 400-410
    Boba Jr 400
    darksideyesplease 400
    Darth_Ape 400
    DarthBot 400
    Darth_Nitro1138 400
    Darth_Sprocket 400
    Darth Tall 400
    DarthToeJam 400
    war_monger 400
    forever_jedi 400
    Jango10 400
    Lord_DarthSatanus 400
    Shen_Wa 400
    vong333 400
    The_Force_Anomlay 400
    tephjo 400
    JMRycheBa-Gai 400
    segask 400
    T16Skyhopper 400
    ObiWanCon 399
    darthchickenwing 395
    royalguard96 391
    Happy Ninja 385-420
    Bowen 385-500
    Xzar-Teel 385-410
    ctumole 380-410
    DarthTapion 380-400
    DarthNomis 380
    Texas_Jedi 375-400
    Darth_Zoo 375
    lenlenlen1 375
    vansmak 375
    Darth_Menace 372
    jonas_jade 370-500
    anakinsrightarm 370
    Greymarch10 370
    JohnWesleyDowney 370
    TEXAS 370
    The_General_Grievous 370
    sithscotti418 362
    DarthTornado 360
    DarthBinks2004 350-500
    Gobi-1 350-450
    DarthSithLord 350-420
    grotonofgroton 350-415
    classixboy 350-400
    denseyjedi 350-400
    olpbrandon07 350-400
    redsabreanakin 350-400
    Seigiryu 350-400
    SirKnightLord 350-400
    stormcloud8 350-400
    DARK
  3. Jedi knight Pozzi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Apr 2, 2000
    star 6
    DamonD Thank you for the numbers. =D= =D= =D=
  4. luisgv73 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Apr 26, 2005
    star 1
    DamonD you RULE

    Amazing piece of work man, congrats!!!
  5. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    I...never knew I had it in me :p
  6. JediRac Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Apr 10, 2001
    star 2
    Impressive...most impressive. :cool:
  7. Brew23 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 19, 2004
    star 1
    opening day: 38
    Friday: 30
    Saturday: 37
    Sunday: 29
    3 day weekend: 96
    4 day: 134
    Domestic Total: 340
    Overseas: 380
    WorldWide: 720
  8. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
  9. jedisrm Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Mar 12, 2002
    star 4
    hey damon, you forgot mine!

    opening day- 60 m

    3 day weekend- 165 m

    4 day- 225 m

    us total- 722.9 m

    international- 1b 84.4m

    worldwide total- 1b 807.3
  10. Brew23 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 19, 2004
    star 1
    Box Office Mojo, shows that RoTS will open in 3700 theaters!! If this indeed ends up being how many locations get this movie it is a very good sign, and is a big jump over how many locations Clones and Menace opened at. Menace opened in I believe around 2950 locations and Clones in around 3160.

    It appears Lucas has eased up on how many theater will get Sith, and this could mean an even bigger opening weekend. I think I'm still gonna stick with my original prediction though :)
  11. Jedi knight Pozzi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Apr 2, 2000
    star 6
    Or the theatres have been upgraded since.

    I'll say 350m (and 82cents) for the US.
  12. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    The 3700 count is much larger than the 3400-or-so I hoped for at best. That'll actually be the 10th widest release in US film history.

    I think it's a dead cert that ROTS will be making extremely big money in the first few days, particularly.
  13. stormcloud8 Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    May 24, 2002
    star 4
    Well I think that the positive review from Ebert and Roeper will drive a lot of business. That would have hurt things to get a thumbs down from one of them. Biggest critical barrier has been hurdled.

    On the other hand, I found the movie depressing (and I love depressing movies!) which could hurt box office as Lucas has been saying all along. I expected the movie to leave me with a 'That Was Fun!' feeling but instead it left me sad. That could hurt return business.
  14. Jeff 42 Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Sep 14, 1998
    star 5
    On the other hand, Titanic is the biggest movie of all time...
  15. Kittles93 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Apr 17, 2005
    star 1
    ROTS box office will be driven by repeat SW fans and repeat teenagers....I don't think the darkness of the film will hold much sway over these demographics...i think it will top 375, maybe 400 million
  16. stormcloud8 Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    May 24, 2002
    star 4
    Titanic was sad and ended with death, but ROTS is sad in a very dark way. It's quite a different feeling. I had thought of the Titanic comparison, but it's not the same. Stupidity leads to the tragedy in Titanic, unspeakable acts lead to the tragedy in ROTS.

    That being said, I love dark movies so who knows what this one will do!
  17. Lexi Host of Quick-Games

    Game Host
    Member Since:
    Oct 9, 2002
    star 4
    Here are my predictions:

    Opening day: 33 million
    Weekend (Fri-Sun): 81 million
    4-day (Thurs-Sun): 114 million
    US Total: 440 million
    International Total: 492 million
    Worldwide Total: 950 million
  18. The_General_Grievous Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 8, 2005
    star 4
    Opening day: 70 million
    Weekend (Fri-Sun): 200 million
    4-day (Thurs-Sun): 70 million
    US Total: 460 million
    International Total: 490 million
    Worldwide Total: 900 million
  19. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Let's try to get this onto page 7 so I post the updated list ;)
  20. Jedi knight Pozzi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Apr 2, 2000
    star 6
  21. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
  22. Lexi Host of Quick-Games

    Game Host
    Member Since:
    Oct 9, 2002
    star 4
    Want some more help? :D :p
  23. leelee Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jan 4, 2003
    star 3
    I'll do my fair share of helping :)
  24. The_General_Grievous Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 8, 2005
    star 4
    i want to see the updated list so lets get to page 7
  25. The_General_Grievous Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 8, 2005
    star 4
    to help to get to page 7 ill make an easy topic so people dont spam.

    How long do you think ROTS will stay in theatures?
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