[HCSF] box office predictions

Discussion in 'Revenge of the Sith (Non-Spoilers)' started by DarthRandolph, Apr 26, 2003.

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  1. SirKnightLord Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 7, 2001
    star 3
    ^^I'd say it will be able to retain well over 2,000 theatres at least through the 4th of July, its 7th week in release.

    AotC held 2,100+ through six weekends and it started out with a much lower theatre count at release plus had to face stronger competition that forced it out of theatres quicker, as well as the declining gross receipts.

    TPM held 3,000+ theatres in its sixth week and 2,000+ until its ninth weekend.

    My feeling right now is that repeat business will be incredibly high compared to that of AotC and will ultimately perform along a similar pattern of TPM.
  2. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Not only is that interesting, but it pushes us over to page 7 :D
    List coming up!
  3. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Alright, here's the current version of The List.
    Remember! The deadline is the 18th, so get all your predictions in by then!


    ***Opening 19th May***
    The_General_Grievous 70
    jedisrm 60
    master_organa 60
    mgg1025 52
    yoda900 47
    LiamGonNeeson 45
    Nebucchad 45
    GreviousThis 44
    Chimpo_the_Sith 42
    evhjim 42
    RodentJedi 41
    Bowen 41
    Darth Tall 40
    Padmes_love_slave24 40
    SoloVader 40
    THX-1138 40
    BarbarianKing 39
    Brew23 38
    Rebecca191 36.5
    Jabbadabbado 36
    DarthTapion 35-40
    deathstar90 35-40
    The Flying Dutchman 35
    Marek the Jedi 34-37
    BauconBatista 34
    DamonD 33
    Lexi 33
    beedubew 32
    SLAVE2 31
    Darth_Ignant 25
    Kesel 15


    ***Weekend 20 - 22nd May***
    The_General_Grievous 200
    jedisrm 165
    GreviousThis 127
    Irish_Ghost 120-125
    Darth_Ignant 120
    Ghost_Jedi 120
    LiamGonNeeson 120
    yoda900 120
    Nebucchad 116
    Darth Tall 105
    Bowen 100-105
    DarthGoldblum 100
    Padmes_love_slave24 100
    redsabreanakin 100
    SoloVader 100
    BarbarianKing 98
    Chimpo_the_Sith 98
    Brew23 96
    beedubew 95
    DamonD 95
    The Flying Dutchman 95
    SLAVE2 94
    Jabbadabbado 92
    DarthTapion 90-105
    Anakin_Skywalker021 90
    DarthTapion 90
    BauconBatista 87
    Marek the Jedi 85-100
    Rebecca191 85
    Lexi 81
    Wise-Master 80-100
    Darth-Walken 80-85
    JediMasterRegal 80-85
    Moleman1138 80-85
    Bob marley 80
    evhjim 80
    ___Obi-1___ 80
    Kesel 65


    ***4-day Total 19 - 22nd May***
    The_General_Grievous 270
    jedisrm 225
    master_organa 170
    LiamGonNeeson 165
    GreviousThis 162
    Nebucchad 161
    yoda900 155
    RodentJedi 153
    Bowen 150-155
    ___Obi-1___ 150
    Darth_Ignant 145
    Darth Tall 145
    thebadge 145
    Padmes_love_slave24 142
    Chimpo_the_Sith 140
    SoloVader 140
    BarbarianKing 137
    Brew23 134
    BauconBatista 132
    DamonD 130
    mgg1025 130
    Jabbadabbado 128
    DarthTapion 125
    deathstar90 125
    Rebecca191 125
    SLAVE2 125
    The Flying Dutchman 125
    evhjim 122
    Binary_Sunset 120
    GrazoTheClown 120
    beedubew 115
    Lexi 114
    Kesel 80


    ***US Total***
    JMZ 750
    jedisrm 722.9
    LiamGonNeeson 700
    WanderingYoda 650-700
    Count_DoodooKuKu 650
    starwarsagent 623,034,021
    DarthMindscrew30 602
    DarthRevan1944 602
    Fan-4-Life 550-602
    mgg1025 550
    Monkeyjedi 550
    SoloVader 550
    GreviousThis 542
    lukestarkiller1977 540
    yoda900 525
    thebadge 510
    Addiction 500
    DarthMaul13 500
    darthvader1220 500
    darthvader_ani 500
    GrazoTheClown 500
    Luke_Landwalker 500
    ___Obi-1___ 500
    openmind 500
    president_kang 500
    Scharfy 500
    Smooth_Jedi 500
    The_Xtreme_Sith1983 500
    Duckman 499.9
    CloneCommander07 480
    Bowen 465
    Nebucchad 465
    beedubew 465
    JBFett 460
    The_General_Grievous 460
    DARTH_CRISPY 450
    DARTH_NAFOD 450
    EMPEROR_WINDU 450
    imperial_Jedi 450
    Mynok_Warlord 450
    Star_Wars_Freak_2006 450
    Lexi 440
    evhjim 438
    DarthWeenie 432-460
    stormtrooper519 432-435
    Jack1138 425
    anthonymaul 420
    Chosen_Jedi74 415
    Padmes_love_slave24 413
    dirtyname 412
    QuiGonDad1 410
    Snake_Charmer 410
    SithWarrior2000 404
    BarbarianKing 403.2
    BLKNIGHT18 401
    Darth_Ignant 400.1
    jaw62901 400-500
    JediRac 400-500
    VanillaZinger 400-450
    Count_Davoo 400-450
    Arliss 400-410
    Boba Jr 400
    darksideyesplease 400
    Darth_Ape 400
    DarthBot 400
    Darth_Nitro1138 400
    Darth_Sprocket 400
    Darth Tall 400
    DarthToeJam 400
    forever_jedi 400
    Jango10 400
    JMRycheBa-Gai 400
    Jumpman 400
    Lord_DarthSatanus 400
    master_organa 400
    segask 400
    Shen_Wa 400
    T16Skyhopper 400
    tephjo 400
    The_Force_Anomlay 400
    vong333 400
    ObiWanCon 399
    royalguard96 391
    Happy Ninja 385-420
    Xzar-Teel 385-410
    ctumole 380-410
    DarthTapion 380-400
    DarthNomis 380
    Kittles93 375-400
    Texas_Jedi 375-400
    Darth_Zoo 375
    lenlenlen1 375
    vansmak 375
    Darth_Menace 372
    jonas_jade 370-500
    anakinsrightarm 370
    Greymarch10 370
    liyon 370
    Rebecca191 370
    TEXAS 370
    sithscotti418 362
    Chimpo_the_Sith 360
    DarthTornado 360
    DarthBinks2004 350-500
    marathonjedi 350-475
    Gobi-1 350-450
    DarthSithLord 350-420
    grotonofg
  4. RebelScum77 Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Aug 3, 2003
    star 6
    On a related side note:

    NEW YORK (AFP) - The latest "Star Wars" film opening this week has a dark side, according to one analysis it will cost US employers as much as 627 million dollars in lost productivity.

    Consulting firm Challenger, Gray and Christmas said the buzz around the new movie will likely prompt many people to skip work to be among the first to see "Star Wars Episode III - Revenge of the Sith."

    "Already, we were looking at huge opening weekend audiences who have long anticipated the grand finale in this 28-year journey," said John Challenger, chief executive officer of the firm.

    Challenger researchers calculated the loss from workplace absenteeism assuming that attendance on the first two days of the last in the series will at least match that of the previous Star Wars movie.

    About 9.4 million people attended "Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones" on the first two days of its release in 2002.

    Challenger researchers estimated that about 51 percent of those likely to attend the movie this week are full-time workers.

    Based on the average daily pay of 130.60 dollars, the cost in terms of lost wages and productivity resulting from 4.8 million absences would be 626,880,000 dollars.

    "Of course, these estimates are probably on the conservative side in light of the great reviews the moving is receiving. Absenteeism may even start on Wednesday for those who want to see the first screening a midnight on May 19," said Challenger.

    "There is, of course, a very positive economic impact from the movie opening. It will result in increased consumer spending on movie tickets and refreshments, increased foreign and domestic tourism, and increased business in shops and restaurants near the movie theaters."



    [face_laugh] Ok, I found that to be hilarious.
  5. Jedi knight Pozzi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Apr 2, 2000
    star 6
    SirKnightLord, you might want to change your sig somewhat. ;)
  6. Ghost_Jedi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Sep 27, 2003
    star 5
    Hay Damon I have more work for you:

    Opening Day: 35 million
    4 Day Weekend: One Hundred Fifteen million!

    That is right nine figures
  7. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Righto, got it.
    Any more predictions...?
  8. Darth_Zoo Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 15, 2002
    star 4
    Am I on that list somewhere?
    Hmm, well I'd like to make a revision regardless.
    Due to the increasing hype and good reception ...

    Final US Domestic: $385 M
  9. Aiwendil Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 1, 2002
    star 1
    All right, I'll give this a shot.

    Opening day: 37 million
    Weekend: 90 million
    Four day weekend: 127 million
    U.S. total: 365 million
    International total: 370 million
    Worldwide total: 735 million
  10. NorCalBirdz Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Dec 28, 2004
    star 4
    I could cheat and wait for Box Office Mojo :p but I'll give it a shot

    Opening day: 38 million
    Weekend: 74 million
    Four day weekend: 132 million



  11. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Am I on that list somewhere?
    Yup, you had $375m down. I've bumped that up for you now.
  12. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    LAST DAY!

    Get your predictions in now!
  13. PlastiqPhantom Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 26, 2002
    star 5
    First Day Total (The 19th): 38 million
    3-Day Weekend (20th-22nd): 134 million
    4-Day Total (19th-22nd): 172 million
  14. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Hiya Plastiq :)
    Nice seeing you again.
  15. PlastiqPhantom Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 26, 2002
    star 5
    Hey Damon, good to see again you too. :)

    Haven't done this in a while so I'm sure I'll be way off, but whatever. :D

    Oh and here's my other totals.

    US Domestic Total: 520 million
    International Total: 580 million
    Worldwide Total: 1.1 billion
  16. Darth_Zoo Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 15, 2002
    star 4
    ^ From you lips to God's ear! That would be a fantastic run, but a little too optimistic for me.
  17. Jeff 42 Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Sep 14, 1998
    star 5
    First day: $45m
    Fri-Sun: $99m
    4-day opening: $144m
    Domestic total: $350m
    International total: $400m
    Worldwide total: $750m
  18. The_General_Grievous Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 8, 2005
    star 4
    DamonD whats the number by the name? amd im going on the 20th
  19. Obi-Wan's Apparition Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 10, 2000
    star 5
    I guess I'll take a shot at this...

    Opening day: 40 million
    Weekend: 90 million
    Four day weekend: 130 million
    U.S. total: 333 million
    International total: 500 million
    Worldwide total: 833 million
  20. Ghost_Jedi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Sep 27, 2003
    star 5
    NEW YORK (AFP) - The latest "Star Wars" film opening this week has a dark side, according to one analysis it will cost US employers as much as 627 million dollars in lost productivity.

    I still get over [image=http://www.pocketpclouisville.com/images/dr_evil.jpg]627 milllliiion dollars
  21. Bob marley Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Apr 10, 1999
    star 1
    Here we go:

    Opening day: 43 million
    Weekend: 94 million
    Four day weekend: 136 million
    U.S. total: 385 million
    International total: 641 million
    Worldwide total: 1026 million
  22. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    DamonD whats the number by the name?
    Sorry? What do you mean?

    Well, the Box Office Contest is now CLOSED.

    The full list will be coming up next. Thanks very much to all that have entered!
  23. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Maybe we'll try to get it onto page 8 first ;)
    T_G_G, if there's something wrong with your prediction then let me know as soon as possible so it can be corrected.
  24. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Bumping this towards page 8 :D
  25. beedubew Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 25, 2002
    star 2
    This was in an article on cnn money. Seen stuff like it before, but still found it interesting.


    Exhibitor Relations analyzed domestic box office receipts for the initial theatrical runs of the three "Star Wars" sequels more than two decades ago. [They] found that, adjusted for increases in ticket prices, the early films pulled in $1.6 billion domestically (compared to $655 million in actual dollars).

    By way of comparison, the "Lord of the Rings" trilogy sold a price-adjusted $1.1 billion in tickets domestically and the "Harry Potter" trio took in $906 million


    I say down with Titanic. It had the luxury of inflated ticket prices.


    Bee
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