[HCSF] box office predictions

Discussion in 'Revenge of the Sith (Non-Spoilers)' started by DarthRandolph, Apr 26, 2003.

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  1. Darth_Zoo Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 15, 2002
    star 4
    I've heard that Sith is already raking in tons of cash from advance sales and midnight showings. I'm cautious but Sith could do major BO damage! :)
  2. Brew23 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 19, 2004
    star 1
    After seeing this movie I wish I could lower my box office numbers. This will do big on opening weekend, but it will NOT have good legs. The movie is very depressing and very dark. There won't be alot of repeat viewings of this movie, and I think it will struggle to get close to 300 million now.
  3. stormcloud8 Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    May 24, 2002
    star 4
    I do tend to agree with that. People won't be running out again and again. But on the flip side, many people who normally might not go could be drawn in by the critical praise and good word of mouth.
  4. beedubew Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 25, 2002
    star 2
    A lack of repeat viewing may hurt this film. My estimate is probably high too.
  5. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    Here's the final, complete list of TFN predictions for ROTS :

    ***Opening 19th May***
    The_General_Grievous 70
    jedisrm 60
    master_organa 60
    mgg1025 52
    JediHPDrummer 50
    djslybri 48
    jps78 48
    marathonjedi 48
    yoda900 47
    Marek the Jedi 46.5
    Gobi-1 46
    chosenone68 45
    Darth_Mongo2005 45
    francoportaro18 45
    Jeff42 45
    LiamGonNeeson 45
    Nebucchad 45
    SueB 45
    Dom_OO7 44
    GreviousThis 44
    Bob marley 43
    FanMan_1977 42-48
    Chimpo_the_Sith 44.6
    DarthOgrius 43
    evhjim 42
    HomerS1979 42
    Yellowcard 42
    denseyjedi 41.8
    Bowen 41
    RodentJedi 41
    smauldookie 41
    Darth_Lizard 40
    Darth Tall 40
    Obi-Wan's Apparition 40
    Padmes_love_slave24 40
    SoloVader 40
    THX-1138 40
    BarbarianKing 39
    Brew23 38
    DarthHomer 38
    Lando_Plenty 38
    NorCalBirdz 38
    PlastiqPhantom 38
    Aiwendil 37
    Jedi_Rasputin 37
    jonas_jade 37
    TheDarkShape 37
    Rebecca191 36.5
    Jabbadabbado 36
    DarthHutt 35.5
    DarthTapion 35-40
    deathstar90 35-40
    Ghost_Jedi 35
    The Flying Dutchman 35
    BauconBatista 34
    DamonD 33
    Lexi 33
    beedubew 32
    SLAVE2 31
    Darth_Ignant 25
    Kesel 15


    ***Weekend 20 - 22nd May***
    The_General_Grievous 200
    djslybri 196
    jps78 185
    jedisrm 165
    DarthGoldblum 150
    JediHPDrummer 140
    PlastiqPhantom 134
    Gobi-1 132
    GreviousThis 127
    Irish_Ghost 120-125
    Darth_Ignant 120
    Ghost_Jedi 120
    jonas_jade 120
    LiamGonNeeson 120
    yoda900 120
    HomerS1979 118
    denseyjedi 117.6
    francoportaro18 117
    Nebucchad 116
    Marek the Jedi 115.5
    chosenone68 115
    Yellowcard 112
    marathonjedi 110
    master_organa 110
    Chimpo_the_Sith 107.7
    Darth Tall 105
    Bowen 100-105
    Darth_Lizard 100
    Padmes_love_slave24 100
    redsabreanakin 100
    SoloVader 100
    Jeff42 99
    BarbarianKing 98
    Brew23 96
    beedubew 95
    DamonD 95
    smauldookie 95
    TheDarkShape 95
    The Flying Dutchman 95
    Bob marley 94
    Lando_Plenty 94
    SLAVE2 94
    Jedi_Rasputin 93
    DarthHutt 92.5
    DarthHomer 92
    Dom_OO7 92
    Jabbadabbado 92
    DarthTapion 90-105
    Aiwendil 90
    Anakin_Skywalker021 90
    Darth_Mongo2005 90
    DarthTapion 90
    Obi-Wan's Apparition 90
    BauconBatista 87
    Rebecca191 85
    Lexi 81
    Wise-Master 80-100
    Darth-Walken 80-85
    JediMasterRegal 80-85
    Moleman1138 80-85
    Bob marley 80
    evhjim 80
    ___Obi-1___ 80
    NorCalBirdz 74
    Kesel 65


    ***4-day Total 19 - 22nd May***
    The_General_Grievous 270
    jps78 233
    jedisrm 225
    Gobi-1 178
    PlastiqPhantom 172
    JediHPDrummer 170
    master_organa 170
    LiamGonNeeson 165
    francoportaro18 162
    GreviousThis 162
    Marek the Jedi 162
    Nebucchad 161
    chosenone68 160
    HomerS1979 160
    denseyjedi 159.4
    marathonjedi 158
    jonas_jade 157
    yoda900 155
    Yellowcard 154
    RodentJedi 153
    Chimpo_the_Sith 152.3
    Bowen 150-155
    ___Obi-1___ 150
    Darth_Ignant 145
    Darth Tall 145
    thebadge 145
    Jeff42 144
    Padmes_love_slave24 142
    Darth_Lizard 140
    SoloVader 140
    BarbarianKing 137
    Bob marley 136
    Dom_OO7 136
    smauldookie 136
    Darth_Mongo2005 135
    Brew23 134
    BauconBatista 132
    Lando_Plenty 132
    NorCalBirdz 132
    TheDarkShape 132
    DamonD 130
    DarthHomer 130
    Jedi_Rasputin 130
    mgg1025 130
    Obi-Wan's Apparition 130
    DarthHutt 128
    Jabbadabbado 128
    Aiwendil 127
    DarthTapion 125
    deathstar90 125
    Rebecca191 125
    SLAVE2 125
    The Flying Dutchman 125
    evhjim 122
    Binary_Sunset 120
    GrazoTheClown 120
    beedubew 115
    Ghost_Jedi 115
    Lexi 114
    DarthHutt 110
    SueB 80-95
    Kesel 80


    ***US Total***
    JMZ 750
    jedisrm 722.9
    LiamGonNeeson 700
    WanderingYoda 650-700
    Count_DoodooKuKu 650
    jps78 625
    starwarsagent 623,034,021
    DarthMindscrew30 602
    DarthRevan1944 602
    jonas_jade 588
    Jedi_Rasputin 575
    Fan-4-Life 550-602
    mgg1025 550
    Monkeyjedi 550
    SoloVader 550
    GreviousThis 542
    Gobi-1 540
    lukestarkiller1977 540
    yoda900 525
    djslybri 520
    PlastiqPhantom 520
    Marek the Jedi 519.75
    denseyjedi 518.2
    JediHPDrummer 510
    thebadge 510
    Addiction 500
    DarthMaul13 500
    darthvader1220 500
    darthvader_ani
  6. Jedi knight Pozzi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Apr 2, 2000
    star 6
    When will we see anything from Box Office Mojo?
  7. Durwood Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    May 18, 2002
    star 5
    The movie is very depressing and very dark. There won't be alot of repeat viewings...

    Which is exactly what Lucas predicted would happen.
  8. Kittles93 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Apr 17, 2005
    star 1
    while it may not get repeat viewings from casual fans, if this film attracts the SW fans disappointed by I and II, it will do a ton of repeat business.

    of course, i may change my mind after i see it at noon today. maybe it is too depressing.

    the key is, do the fans walk out wanting to see it again?

    teenage girls went to see Titanic multiple times and cried every time. maybe ROTS will elicit similar sentiments in boys and young men.
  9. stormcloud8 Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    May 24, 2002
    star 4
    I think people walk out feeling empty. It's like a punch in the stomach. We know these characters so well, we've known them all our lives, and to see them beaten and hurt so badly is very personal.
  10. Brew23 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 19, 2004
    star 1
    I walked out feeling like I did NOT want to see this film again. I'm not saying it's not a good movie, it is very GOOD, what I am saying is I felt so depressed and empty that I had no desire to even use the ticket I have for the 7pm showing today.

    I have convinced myself to go, but my wife is not going with me, one of my buddies is going. I'm hoping after seeing it again I will like it more, and want to see more repeat viewings.....but i have my doubts.
  11. Brew23 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 19, 2004
    star 1
    Well after seeing it a second time I LOVE the movie now. It is amazing how much better it was the second time around, and I think it is now my favorite of the entire saga.

    On a box office note boxofficemojo is reporting that RoTS did $16.5 million in midnight showings alone!!! To put that in perspective AOTC did $7 million and the record was RoTK and it did $8 million. I think it now almost certain this film will break Spidermans opening day record!!
  12. The_General_Grievous Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 8, 2005
    star 4
    brew could you [pst a link to mojo, ive been looking and cant find a count for box office
  13. Brew23 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 19, 2004
    star 1
  14. The_General_Grievous Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 8, 2005
    star 4
  15. SirKnightLord Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 7, 2001
    star 3
    Hey DamonD is it possible to still get in predictions? I mean no numbers of any kind still come in. I thought the deadline would be when that happens since thats how you usually run the Predictions thread in JCC.

    Opening: $43 million
    3-Day Weekend: $110 million
    4-Day Weekend: $131 million
    US Total: $410-430 million
    International Total: $600-650 million
    Worldwide Total: $1.1 billion

    Edit: Heh, I just noticed the posts about midnight estimates. So I'll understand if you say no...slightly disappointed but understanding!
  16. Durwood Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    May 18, 2002
    star 5
    teenage girls went to see Titanic multiple times and cried every time.

    Titanic didn't really leave you feeling depressed, though. It had a happy, feel-good ending (and a naked Kate Winslett!).
  17. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    SirKnightLord - I'll include all your figures except for the Opening Day one, how's that?
  18. Jedi knight Pozzi Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Apr 2, 2000
    star 6
  19. menttality Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    May 26, 2002
    $50mm, wow!

    Nice work Jedihpdrummer.
  20. DamonD Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Nov 22, 2002
    star 6
    So, we have an Opening Day figure of $50,013,859!

    That's a new Opening Day record, beating Spidey 2's $40.4m figure.
    And that's also a new Single Day record, beating Shrek 2's $44.8m.

    Excellent start!
  21. The_General_Grievous Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 8, 2005
    star 4
  22. Kiki-Gonn Chosen One

    Member Since:
    Feb 26, 2001
    star 6
    Sweet! $50M. Star Wars Rules!!!

    For everyone who said a depressing movie where you know what's going to happen etc. can't make a lot of repeat business, I have one word for you... Titanic.

    I'm not saying this will be the number 1 movie of all time but the comparisons (tragic story, you know the end) are interesting to say the least.
  23. SirKnightLord Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 7, 2001
    star 3
    Good deal. Thanks, DamonD.

    $50 million. Wow.

    I honestly did not fully expect to see that figure pop up.
  24. Brew23 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 19, 2004
    star 1
    Impressive, Most impressive..... I'm sooo excited about this, and I hope the good numbers continue t/o the weekend and next weeks all important Memorial Day Weekend!!!
  25. Mr. P FanFic Archive Editor, Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Apr 1, 2000
    star 5
    did you read any of the reviews on that website? (box office mojo) THey are hilarious!!!

    Gone is the snappy "walking carpet" tone and urgent "don't get cocky" pace; replaced by bad dialog dispatched in a low, neutral drone. Without contrast, lacking even Return of the Jedi's forest tranquility, The Phantom Menace's insistent score or Darth Maul's sense of purpose, there is not one memorable scene. A computerized planet is intended to look like Hell. It just looks fake.


    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/reviews/?id=starwars3.htm

    and about hitchhiker's guide: ( http://www.boxofficemojo.com/reviews/?id=1801&p=.htm )

    The robot, the president, the girl, the friend and Arthur band together to wander the cosmos, turning into vegetables and looking for a planet that may or may not exist. Add to all this such lessons as Don't Think, Man is Puny and Insignificant and rubbish about whales, mice and petunias and you have a drug-induced remake of Chitty Chitty Bang Bang for Libertarians.



    lol!
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