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How much will Indy IV gross at the box office?

Discussion in 'Lucasfilm Ltd. In-Depth Discussion' started by Palpateen, May 28, 2007.

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  1. Palpateen

    Palpateen Jedi Padawan star 4

    Registered:
    Apr 26, 2000


    Predictions anyone?
     
  2. Gobi-1

    Gobi-1 Manager Emeritus star 5 VIP - Former Mod/RSA

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    Dec 22, 2002
    A lot. :p

    It's too early to guestimate.
     
  3. Zaz

    Zaz Jedi Knight star 9

    Registered:
    Oct 11, 1998
    What do long-delayed 4th movies usually gross?
     
  4. DarthLowBudget

    DarthLowBudget Jedi Master star 5

    Registered:
    Jan 17, 2004
    What did Rocky Balboa take in? Now granted that was a sixth, but the time gap between installments is similar.
     
  5. BuffAnakin

    BuffAnakin Jedi Youngling star 1

    Registered:
    Dec 11, 2003

    the fan base has been accumulating since 1981, so I think it's gonna be big, very big
     
  6. ObiWanCon

    ObiWanCon Jedi Master star 4

    Registered:
    Apr 15, 2004
    1 TRILLION DOLLARS
     
  7. Palpateen

    Palpateen Jedi Padawan star 4

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    Apr 26, 2000

    The first 3 movies are some of the most popular movies ever made...which is
    a great foundation of marketing that no amount of money can buy. How many people
    have seen the first 3, either in the theatres, on DVD, or on cable or broadcast TV?
    It's a huge audience. And there hasn't been one since 1989. Since George Bush SENIOR
    was President. If it's a good movie, and I believe it will be, I think it will do business on a scale with Harry Potter, LOTR, Spiderman and Pirates.
     
  8. LordSilvertouch

    LordSilvertouch Jedi Master star 4

    Registered:
    Apr 19, 2003
    Tough question. It's gonna have a MASSIVE opening weekend, the question is whether it'll have legs or not, and that's down to Messrs. Lucas, Spielberg, Ford and Williams.
     
  9. JohnWesleyDowney

    JohnWesleyDowney Jedi Master star 5

    Registered:
    Jan 27, 2004

    If they schedule it on a holiday weekend, like Memorial Day or the 4th of July,
    it will be a monster.
     
  10. Oissan

    Oissan Jedi Grand Master star 7

    Registered:
    Mar 9, 2001
    Domestic, 200 million should be a lock, right now I'd say $250-325 million but that could vary quite a bit depending on the quality of the movie and the marketing campaign. Really hard to tell.

    Worldwide is even harder to predict.
     
  11. bluesaber70

    bluesaber70 Jedi Knight star 2

    Registered:
    May 25, 2007
    Ya know what? I wouldn't be a bit surprised if it was the highest grossing film of next Summer. A ton of people have been waiting for this.
     
  12. bluesaber70

    bluesaber70 Jedi Knight star 2

    Registered:
    May 25, 2007
    As far as I know it's to be released Memorial Day weekend. The Thursday before. 4 day's it may take "Spiderman 3."
     
  13. WookieeWarrior9

    WookieeWarrior9 Jedi Youngling star 3

    Registered:
    Jun 5, 2007
    I think $300 million (domestic) is well within reach. The hype for this will be pretty huge.
     
  14. Oissan

    Oissan Jedi Grand Master star 7

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    Mar 9, 2001
    Well, Memorial Day makes it more of a 5-day weekend ;)

    It has absolutely no shot at the Opening weekend record, not with a Thursday opening day and the more evenly spread numbers of the Memorial day weekend. See Episode III, the huge opening day reduced demand on the weekend and took away the chance of beating the weekend record.

    Though the four and five day numbers could be quite huge, if they do it right.
     
  15. Darth_Sidious-

    Darth_Sidious- Jedi Youngling star 2

    Registered:
    Nov 14, 2005
    I see it dong Ep II numbers at the most.
     
  16. bluesaber70

    bluesaber70 Jedi Knight star 2

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    May 25, 2007
    I'm telling you this movie will be huge. Mark my words.
     
  17. JohnWesleyDowney

    JohnWesleyDowney Jedi Master star 5

    Registered:
    Jan 27, 2004
    In 1989 Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade made about 475 million dollars world-wide.
    That was 18 years ago. It was a huge, huge hit back then.

    Check out the link below for the specifics, including how much it cost to
    make the movie back in 1988/89.

    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=indianajonesandthelastcrusade.htm

    The # 1 movie of the year world-wide in 1989 was (drum roll)
    Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade.

    (Tim Burton's Batman was # 1 domestically but Indy beat it world-wide.)
     
  18. Gobi-1

    Gobi-1 Manager Emeritus star 5 VIP - Former Mod/RSA

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    Dec 22, 2002
    Here's the domestic grosses from each film adjusted for inflation from [link=http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm]Box Office Mojo[/link]

    DOMESTIC GROSSES
    Adjusted for Ticket Price Inflation


    Raiders of the Lost Ark
    1981 = $242,374,454
    2007 = $579,973,400

    Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom
    1984 = $179,870,271
    2007 = $352,245,900

    Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade
    1989 = $197,171,806
    2007 = $325,160,500
     
  19. Darth_Sidious-

    Darth_Sidious- Jedi Youngling star 2

    Registered:
    Nov 14, 2005
    In that case I'll go with Ep III numbers.
     
  20. WormieSaber

    WormieSaber Jedi Master star 5

    Registered:
    Oct 22, 2000
    I'm guessing $200 + . And that's only because Ford isn't the young hot thing that he used to be, not anymore. But I think Spielberg can do magic. We'll see.
     
  21. Jango10

    Jango10 Jedi Master star 5

    Registered:
    Sep 22, 2002
    I'd say ROTS type numbers. Who knows, maybe after it has wrapped and the hype really starts building up, it could put up TPM numbers.
     
  22. MasterYogurt

    MasterYogurt Jedi Master star 2

    Registered:
    May 31, 2005
    Personally, I think it will make numbers we've never seen before.
     
  23. Oissan

    Oissan Jedi Grand Master star 7

    Registered:
    Mar 9, 2001
    Very hard to do, as the next Narnia movie starts not even a week before. What happens when big blockbusters start that close to each other can be seen with Spiderman/Shrek/Pirates 3 this May, which all made much less than anticipated.
     
  24. Jango10

    Jango10 Jedi Master star 5

    Registered:
    Sep 22, 2002
    SM3 had a massive opening weekend, but suffered huge drops the following weekends. It even had a weekend between it and Shrek 3. The main reason could be contributed to Shrek, but it could also be bad WOM. It generally wasn't well received (with good reason).
     
  25. Palpateen

    Palpateen Jedi Padawan star 4

    Registered:
    Apr 26, 2000


    I think it's gonna do very well. Don't underestimate the power of the whip and the fedora.
    ;)
     
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