WITH 100% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING IN OHIO: George W. Bush 2,777,645 - 51 percent John Kerry 2,632,547 - 48 percent VICTORY FOR BUSH: 145098 VOTES. If there are less than this number of provisional ballots, it becomes mathematically impossible for Kerry to win. High end estimates of provisional ballots was 175000, average estimate was about 120000. Game, set, match Bush. Almost.