Discussion in 'Community' started by GrandAdmiralJello
, Nov 4, 2012.
Meh, they lost in 2004 so maybe it doesn't work when the opponent is from Massachusetts.
I'm hearing that over 60% of the 2008 vote have already voted in Colorado, North Carolina, and Nevada.
Has anyone else heard that?
Sounds like good news for Obama... and really good news that we just might be able to go to bed before 2am on Election night!
That would make sense, seeing as they used to be the Boston Redskins.
I'd also like to take a moment to lol at Breitbart treating this like its actually a thing.
the only thing andrew breitbart is treating like an actual thing is eternal hellfire
Alabama beat LSU. When Alabama wins, the Democrat wins, when LSU wins a Republican wins.
So looks like the President is safe.
I'm off from work this week because I'm recovering from surgery, so I'm hoping to go down to the polling place (the neighborhood Salvation Army) at a time when the line isn't too long. I'm thinking around 10 or 10:30am, which should hopefully fall between the pre-work morning rush and the lunch break voters. Does this make sense? I've never voted in a big city before.
For the record, I'll be casting my ballot for Obama and Elizabeth Warren for Senator of Massachusetts. Still undecided on the ballot measures here, but starting to lean towards a 'yes' vote on the two key ones.
I'm still a little concerned about New Hampshire. The polling average gives Obama a slight edge, but I imagine it's going to be very close. My father in NH (a Fox News devotee) is obviously voting for Romney. My mother is one of those elusive swing voters (she voted for Clinton, W. Bush, and Obama in '08), and I think she was leaning Romney for a while. But I convinced her otherwise; she has promised me that she will vote for Obama and demanded that this remain a secret from my father.
Of course, the chances of NH affecting the final outcome are looking increasingly slim based on the polls in Ohio. Obama would need to lose Ohio, Florida, and Virginia (and carry Iowa, Colorado, and Nevada) in order for NH to make a difference.
It's looking like the Republicans will probably hold on to their seat in the more conservative of NH's two congressional districts, while the Democrats will pick up a seat in the more liberal district (despite a somewhat embarrassing attack ad against the Dem candidate that's been getting a lot of air time). It's worth nothing that a large swath of this second district is employed by Dartmouth College or the affiliated Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, and this area has one of the lowest unemployment rates in the country. Actually, the district contains five of the six major college towns in the state.
I think we're likely to have quite an early night in any case. All the major determinative swing states (read: Ohio, Florida) are on the East Coast, and have early voting options to boot. Their polls will close first and tabulations should be done quickly. Further, the swing states aren't really independent of one another. If Romney loses North Carolina or Virginia, for instance, it is nigh impossible that he should carry Ohio or Nevada. Likewise, if Obama should lose Ohio, he's likely to have lost a whole series of other swing states where his lead was more tenuous. The overall direction should therefore be apparent quite early in the evening.
2/3 of the population have already voted in NV, and the Democrats have a 48,000 lead which is likely enough to beat Romney this time.(Mitt would have to run up the score among independents, and polling suggest otherwise.) NC is bit harder to figure out, the numbers look good for Democrats......but a lot of them are old white Dixiecrats who would never vote for Obama and GOP turnout is likely going to be high on election day. The President won with less then a percentage point in a landslide, so it is hard to see him winning that state again. The Democrats are actually behind in CO in terms of early voting.....but it is not by a lot and CO has a ton of independents and hispanics and Obama is doing fairly well with them.
Obama is apparently quite excited for the election to be over.
This is my prediction:
I think Virginia is going to Obama, along with Ohio and Pennsylvania. Florida and North Carolina will flip back to the Republican column, though I think Florida will be closer than it has been since 2000.
The President is going to win re-election.
Well it seems like things are breaking from, instead of for, Mitt at the 11th hour with the national polls moving towards Obama.
That should be the dagger as the national vs state poll discrepancy was their (flimsy) cause for hope.
I wont rest easy until this is in the books for Obama, I think Republicans on the ground are ready to do anything at all to pull this out.
Here's my actual prediction:
I hope Obama does get reelected, so The Onion can keep using their version of Joe Biden in news stories.
(Basically, he's Matthew McConaughey's character from Dazed and Confused.)
I had an lol moment at the airport today. I bought the latest issue of Time to read on the plane, the theme of which is the election and two essays, one in favor of Romney and one in favor of Obama.
The price for this magazine, after tax? $5.38.
That won't create sufficient impetus for change, because then the Democrats will suddenly be extolling the virtues of the Electoral College.
The only scenario that could conceivably result in the Electoral College getting the heave ho is if a tie occurs and the resulting chaos therefrom.
thiisssss is great (also quite nsfw). click it if you are a mature adult and like to laugh at things that are funny i guess
At the request of Lowbacca, this thread has been now retagged as a JCC thread and discussion will continue in parallel with the existing Senate thread.
I think all discussion should take place here, and the other thread should be ignored. It is redundant and unnecessary.
I won't be around on Tuesday afternoon or for much of the evening, because I'll be busy with campus-related stuff. I have a gallery reception to attend at 6pm on Tuesday, and I'll probably be there for at least an hour. I may not get home before the big states are called.
I've never been doing other stuff on the night of Election Day, so this will be a first for me.
Making that map made me realize just how hard even a very narrow victory will be for Romney. lol
im gonna drink with some obama-people while the results roll in and then go out dancing as early as the result seems confirmed and no later than probably 9. my (REPUBLICAN) lady friend has agreed to join me for the dancing part so hopefully she's not terribly crushed and we can share dignified, restrained disappointment at the prospect of 4 more years of obama
she said she should be up for dancing no matter the result unless a candidate from a socialist party wins from left field. and i explained that i probably wont be dancing either in that case, ill likely be out with a militia helping to suppress reactionary elements in the state government that would inevitably try to secede in such a scenario... maybe try to get myself appointed to some sort of provisional city soviet if im lucky
Jeez, I don't think I could ever go out with a Romney supporter.
I think my litmus test for a girlfriend would be whether or not she takes Sarah Palin seriously.