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Rogue One Rogue One Box Office Discussion

Discussion in 'Rogue One: A Star Wars Story' started by AmidalaLover, Dec 26, 2015.

  1. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    As you all know the first anthology film, Rogue One, comes out next year at the same time TFA came out. Do you think it will perform similarly to TFA? Less because it is not an Episodic Film? Will the GP know the difference between an Episodic Film and this? Will it perform like a Marvel solo super hero film? Or like The Avengers? Discuss!
  2. StarWarsFreak93 Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jan 20, 2015
    star 4
    It won't make as much as TFA, but it'll definitely be a big hit, especially if marketed right like TFA. I can easily see an 100+ million weekend for it, and probably around 300 million domestically, probably even cracking a billion worldwide.
    Shaak Ti and AmidalaLover like this.
  3. B99 Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Nov 10, 2014
    star 5
    My predictions, It'll come close, but it won't beat it..
    Jedirush2112 and AmidalaLover like this.
  4. Abounder Jedi Padawan

    Member Since:
    Aug 17, 2014
    star 1
    Depends on Vader, but it'll be a drop although it would be unsurprising to see it rival 2016's biggest hits. I think it will at least make more money in China thanks to Donnie Yen (and after TFA's release building the franchise overseas).

    Ep8 is when we can see more records being broken again (40th anniversary, summer OW, perhaps including 3D marathon tickets of the saga and a simultaneous China release). Plus the audience will be even hungrier to see what happens next, it might as well be the third film in terms of anticipation. Neither TPM or ANH ended on such a cliffhanger
    Last edited by Abounder, Dec 27, 2015
    AmidalaLover likes this.
  5. DaddlerTheDalek Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 31, 2014
    star 4
    My predicition. Higher than 600 million dollars.
  6. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    domestic or worldwide?
  7. Jedi Knight Fett Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Feb 18, 2014
    star 7
    It will make 800 million for worldwide.
    AmidalaLover likes this.
  8. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    That sounds like a fair number.
  9. Jedi Knight Fett Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Feb 18, 2014
    star 7

    I am pretty confident with my guess to because I think TFA will make about 2 billion and I think a lot of people won't be as interested in Rogue One.
  10. Artoo-Dion New Films Mod

    Moderator
    Member Since:
    Jun 9, 2009
    star 5
    I honestly have no idea. At a stab in the dark, I'll say an OW of ~$150m with maybe $450m domestic gross.
  11. DaddlerTheDalek Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 31, 2014
    star 4
    domestic.
  12. jedi-soon Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Nov 27, 2001
    star 2
    Traditionally SW hasn't performed as well abroad as most popcorn fare, but the industry has changed a lot in recent years. Pumping out a film every year is ultimately going to lead to diminishing returns, but fatigue shouldn't be much of a factor for R1. I think a lot of it will boil down to how hard they push Vader in the marketing. Goodwill from TFA should carry over strongly, although some of the general audience is going to be confused when they discover it's not picking up from the current film. I'm hopeful it can crack a billion, tho it should clear 800 mil.
    Last edited by jedi-soon, Dec 28, 2015
  13. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    Do you guys think it will confuse the GP? Will the confusion effect Episode 8 negatively?
  14. GregMcP Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 7, 2015
    star 4
    Hmmm... my daughter came out of TFA on a big buzz. She loved it.
    "Only one year to find out what happens next!"
    "Uh, no. The next movie isn't Episode 8." and off I went mansplaining the situation to her.

    She was rather disappointed.

    This is going to be interesting.
    AmidalaLover likes this.
  15. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    I've seen other people confused about it. They are going to have to be very explicit in advertising the movie that it is an anthology.
  16. Krueger Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Aug 9, 2004
    star 5
    I honestly think the BO will peak with TFA.
  17. Slash78 Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 30, 2004
    star 3
    I expect Rogue One to be great. Though I doubt it will break $500 million world wide.
    Shaak Ti likes this.
  18. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    What do you mean "peak". Overall? Or for the Star Wars franchise?
  19. Saurion-Fett Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Jul 3, 2001
    star 4
  20. Krueger Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Aug 9, 2004
    star 5
    For the whole franchise. I don't think any SW film from now on will make as much as TFA will.
    Last edited by Krueger, Dec 29, 2015
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  21. KDC1972 Jedi Master

    Member Since:
    Jan 7, 2005
    star 1
    I say it will approach $475 million domestic and top just over 1 billion world wide. I don't think it will garner the same amount of repeat viewings that are driving the box office for TFA.
    AmidalaLover likes this.
  22. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    Do you guys think audiences will be confused by the spin offs?
  23. ShaneP Ex-Mod Officio

    Member Since:
    Mar 26, 2001
    star 7

    Hmm…depends entirely on the marketing. A part of me wishes they had waited til the ST was complete before moving on the anthologies.

    But, the larger side of me says: bring them on!
    AmySolo, Krueger and AmidalaLover like this.
  24. AmidalaLover Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Aug 19, 2014
    star 3
    It seems like they are trying to keep Star Wars on the forefront of every moviegoers mind. A la Marvel.
    Last edited by AmidalaLover, Dec 29, 2015
    Death Wizard likes this.
  25. ShaneP Ex-Mod Officio

    Member Since:
    Mar 26, 2001
    star 7

    Oh I know why they're doing it. I'm not against a SW movie every year. That is awesome! But, if we start getting clunkers, then I will question it. Kennedy even said in a recent interview they might eventually get up to two SW films a year.

    That's like a dream come true as a fan.

    But I also know that in real life you can have too many irons in the fire so to speak. You can spread yourselves too thin.

    So call me cautiously optimistic going forward.

    The only SW film I really question the wisdom of is the Young Han Solo film.
    AmidalaLover likes this.