Amph The Box Office Thread

Discussion in 'Community' started by Zaz, Sep 19, 2005.

  1. LiamGonNeeson Jedi Youngling

    Member Since:
    Apr 11, 2005
    star 2
    Along w/ Superman Returns, Indy IV, Hobbit, I'd have to say Rocky Balboa has megablockbuster potential. Potter 7(finale) will outgross Sorceror's adjusted gross. Casino Royale may have a surprizingly good 007 in Craig. Could Connery numbers be in the works? ........Or at least Brosnan figures as the studio is hoping for.

    I'll just give a bunch of predictions in '06 dollars for inevitable projects:

    Superman Returns: 450 mil domestic, 650 foreign, 1.1 bil worldwide
    Indy IV: 400 mil domestic, 575 foreign, 975 mil worldwide
    The Hobbit: 450 mil domestic, 750 foreign, 1.2 bil worldwide
    Rocky VI: 275 mil domestic, 300 foreign, 575 mil worldwide
    Harry Potter 7: 375 mil domestic, 750 foreign, 1.125 b worldwide
    Bond 21: 225 mil domestic, 350 foreign, 575 mil worldwide
    Batman Begins 2: 300 mil domestic, 250 foreign, 550 mil worldwide
    Spider-Man 3: 425 mil domestic, 450 foreign, 875 mil worldwide

    Spring/Summer '06 megablockbuster hopefuls aside from Supes III:

    Basic Instinct 2: 125 mil domestic, 175 foreign, 300 mil worldwide
    X3: 250 mil domestic, 225 foreign, 475 mil worldwide
    MI3: 250 mil domestic, 350 foreign, 600 mil worldwide
    Pirates 2: 300 mil domestic, 350 foreign, 650 mil worldwide
    DaVinci Code: 275 mil domestic, 325 foreign, 600 mil worldwide

    The next film to detrone Titanic domestically:

    Superman Reborn*: 625 mil domestic, 800 foreign, 1.425 b worldwide,

    *(of course only if Superman Returns excels artistically and financially.) Bring on Doomsday, Kevin Smith, and Singer for a second go around!

  2. JamesBatista Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jul 13, 2005
    star 1
    I'm sorry, but how can you exclude Pixar's Cars in favor of BASIC INSTINCT 2? [face_plain]
  3. Zaz Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Oct 11, 1998
    star 9
    This week:

    1. "Inside Man," $29 million.

    2. "V for Vendetta," $12.3 million.

    3. "Stay Alive," $11.2 million.

    4. "Failure to Launch," $10.8 million.

    5. "The Shaggy Dog," $9.1 million.

    6. "She's the Man," $7.4 million.

    7. "Larry the Cable Guy: Health Inspector," $7.05 million.

    8. "The Hills Have Eyes," $4.25 million.

    9. "Eight Below," $2.7 million.

    10. "16 Blocks," $2.2 million.


    "Inside Man" did very well; "V" is falling a lot; and "Larry the Cable Guy" is doing pretty bad even by its own standards.
  4. master_organa Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Jun 5, 2004
    star 5
    Impressive. Most impressive.
  5. Zaz Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Oct 11, 1998
    star 9
    This week:

    1. "Ice Age: The Meltdown," $70.5 million.

    2. "Inside Man," $15.7 million.

    3. "ATL," $12.5 million.

    4. "Failure to Launch," $6.6 million.

    5. "V for Vendetta," $6.5 million.

    6. "Stay Alive," $4.58 million.

    7. "She's the Man," $4.57 million.

    8. "Slither," $3.7 million.

    9. "The Shaggy Dog," $3.5 million.

    10 (tie). "Basic Instinct 2," $3.2 million.

    10 (tie). "Larry the Cable Guy: Health Inspector," $3.2 million.

    Huh?

    Never expected "Ice Age 2" to get $70 Million...incredible. Nor did I expect "Slither" to do so poorly. Nathan, you have no luck. "Basic Instinct 2" did about what I expected.

    The original "Ice Age" did $46.3 Million in its first weekend. Go figure.
  6. rogue_wookiee Jedi Youngling

    Member Since:
    Apr 24, 2004
    star 6
    That's just sick. I have to see Slither now.
  7. weezer Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    May 16, 2001
    star 6
    Ice Age was impressive. Its going to end up beating out some Pixar flicks.
  8. Moleman1138 Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Aug 18, 2004
    star 6
    I can't believe Ice Age pulled in Nemo/Incredibles numbers. Well this weekend just greenlit Ice Age 3 without question.

    I thought Basic Instinct would do better since the original is somewhat of a cult film. But I should have expected it. Look at Dirty Dancing 2. 17 years after the original and it bombed as well.
  9. dudalb Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 14, 2001
    star 3
    Basic Instinct 2 is an out and out disaster with both the public and the critics. The film was ripped by the critics, and word of mouth was horrible also. Sharon Stone ain't making a come back soon. They simply waited too long to make a sequel to a film which really should not have had a sequel; there is nowhere for the characters or the story to go.
    "Ice Age 2" surprised me. I thought it would do well but not Pixar type numbers. I saw it and was only middling impressed...fun but not memorable, no where near Pixar in quality of the writing....but that is just my opinion.
    Basic Instinct 2 is a early favorite for the Razzies, though....
  10. Zaz Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Oct 11, 1998
    star 9
    "Basic Instinct 2" isn't a sequel; it's a remake. No matter what they say. :p
  11. dudalb Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 14, 2001
    star 3
    Remake or Sequel, it is one of the year's biggest bombs.
  12. Moleman1138 Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Aug 18, 2004
    star 6
    Exaactly. When are they going to learn that sequels should be made maximum 7 years after the original. Exception of course is SW, but it is what it is. :D


    Dirty Dancing 2 bombed
    Flintstones 2 bombed
    Basic Instinct 2 bombed
    Terminator 3 disappointed
    Godfather III disappointed
  13. JohnWesleyDowney Force Ghost

    Member Since:
    Jan 27, 2004
    star 5


    From what I understand, this year's Superman movie is
    a sequel to the 1978 Donner film, so that's a LONG time
    since the original. ;)
  14. master_organa Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Jun 5, 2004
    star 5
    Does anyone know what BI 2's budget was?
  15. dudalb Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 14, 2001
    star 3
    Rumor has BI2 budget at 50 Million for the film,with 20 million more for promotion and advertising. But whatever the budget,the studio took a bath with this one.
  16. Zaz Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Oct 11, 1998
    star 9
    I'm pretty sure that the studio did not want to make the film, but Stone had a play or pay contract and threatened suit. Which meant they would have to pay her $15 Million to go away.
  17. Zaz Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Oct 11, 1998
    star 9
    This week:

    1. Ice Age: The Meltdown, $34.5 million
    2. The Benchwarmers, $20.5 million
    3. Take the Lead, $12.7 million
    4. Inside Man, $9.2 million
    5. Lucky Number Slevin, $7.1 million
    6. Failure to Launch, $4.1 million
    7. ATL, $3.7 million
    8. V for Vendetta, $3.3 million
    9. Phat Girlz, $3.1 million
    10. Thank You for Smoking, $2.4 million

    "Ice Age" still motoring along; "The Benchwarmers" doing rather well, and "Take the Lead" not bad. "Inside Man" has some legs, but the opening for "Lucky Number Slevin" rather disappointing.
  18. weezer Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    May 16, 2001
    star 6
    Actually its Superman II from 1980 but thats neither here nor there.

    On topic though. That makes Ice Age 2 the first 100 million dollar movie of the year.
  19. dudalb Jedi Knight

    Member Since:
    Jun 14, 2001
    star 3
    "I'm pretty sure that the studio did not want to make the film, but Stone had a play or pay contract and threatened suit. Which meant they would have to pay her $15 Million to go away"

    That is correct, and in view of what happened just paying Stone the money would have been the cheap way off.
    Of course they were insane to sing a 15 million buck play or pay contract anyway,when it was not clear that Verhoeven was on board.
    All in all, BI2 was a total fiasco.
  20. Moleman1138 Manager Emeritus

    Member Since:
    Aug 18, 2004
    star 6
    Wild and Scary Movie 4 should really push this weekend over the 100 Top 12 cume. I can see two big hits here. Neither film will cume under 80. I'd like to see both break 100.
  21. Zaz Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Oct 11, 1998
    star 9
    This week:

    1. "Scary Movie 4," $41 million.

    2. "Ice Age: The Meltdown," $20 million.

    3. "The Benchwarmers," $10 million.

    4. "The Wild," $9.6 million.

    5. "Take the Lead," $6.7 million.

    6. "Inside Man," $6.3 million.

    7. "Lucky Number Slevin," $4.6 million.

    8. "Thank You for Smoking," $4.45 million.

    9. "Failure to Launch," $2.6 million.

    10. "V for Vendetta," $2.2 million.

    You know, folks, when you go and see something like "Scary Movie 4", you are encouraging the suits to make crappy remakes. Just saying.

    "Ice Age" is showing incredible legs, but "The Wild" opening was very mild indeed. "Inside Man" has legs, but "V for Vendetta" has all but disappeared, considering the 'net buzz about it.
  22. Siths_Revenge Jedi Youngling

    Member Since:
    Jul 27, 2004
    star 7
    Bleh. That entire list is all crap films.
  23. Mr44 VIP

    Member Since:
    May 21, 2002
    star 6
    Thank you for Smoking is an extremely well written piece of satire. It's not a rolll around on the floor laugh fest, but it is brillant in its execution.

    Aaron Eckhart, Mario Bello, and David Koechner were perfect, and the rest of the cast (Willaim H Macy, JK Simmons, Sam Elliot, etc..) weren't far behind.

    Perhaps Katie Holmes's character could have been portrayed by anyone, but she was basically a plot device.
  24. Smuggler-of-Mos-Espa Jedi Youngling

    Member Since:
    Jan 23, 2002
    star 6
    Really? I've heard a couple of people I know on another site give it as similar review, but I'm still not brave enough to go see it. The trailer looks like crap.
  25. Zaz Jedi Grand Master

    Member Since:
    Oct 11, 1998
    star 9
    Didn't much like the book. Funny for about three chapters, then it was just tiresome.