Not much action so far this year, though EW was reporting trade show advertisements for "Junebug" in September. I mean, they moved the Oscars up to February to cut down on the advertising, mainly because the Oscar-worthy movies are usually released in the late fall. I'm guessing the men's race looks like this so far: Philip Seymour Hoffman in "Capote", and probably Joaquin Phoenix in "Walk the Line." Possibly Jeff Daniels in "The Squid and the Whale." The woman's race is the usual breakdown: probably Reese Witherspoon in "Walk the Line" and 4 indie actresses in movies nobody's seen.