Who thinks ROTS will become the highest grossing film ever?

From May 19 to May 22, ROTS has made $158.5 million in the US domestic box office alone. Who thinks it will knock that damn heap of scrap metal, Titanic, off the US domestic top spot with $600.8 million.

Well, I sure do.

 

I really hope it breaks all records!!

I think Titanic is sunk

 

hear hear!

 

I want to say, hell yes, but if I'm totally honest, I'd say no. I don't think it will do it. Sure, the fans are rallying around the film at the moment, but it's hard to fight against the force that is otherwise known as "bored-housewife-syndrome"...The reason why Titanic did so well.

I'm going to say it's going to do somewhere around $400 million. At the moment, it is ranked #111 and (#136 worldwide).

 

It certainly could be.

However, it should be pointed out that these highest grossing films nowadays are pure propoganda. They don't take into account the rate of inflation.
Whereas many years ago there were fewer cinemas, and the seats went as little as 50 pence each, now you have huge multiplexes at every corner with some gold class seats at £10 or more!

I was reading a book once which showed two lists, the highest grossing films of all time, and then a second list, the highest grossing films of all time taking into account inflation.

The normal list was just full of new films, Harry Potter, Lord of the Rings, Spiderman...


*edit*
I found the lists....


Top 25 highest-grossing films not adjusted for inflation (US sales)

1. Titanic (1997)
2. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2003)
3. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's/Philosopher's Stone (2001)
4. The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (2002)
5. Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)
6. Jurassic Park (1993)
7. Shrek 2 (2004)
8. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
9. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (2001)
10. Finding Nemo (2003)
11. Spider-Man (2002)
12. Independence Day (1996)
13. E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial (1982)
14. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
15. Spider-Man 2 (2004)
16. Star Wars: Episode IV - A New Hope (1977)
17. The Lion King (1994)
18. The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
19. Forrest Gump (1994)
20. The Sixth Sense (1999)
21. Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (2003)
22. Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)
23. The Incredibles (2004)
24. The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997)
25. The Passion of the Christ (2004)


Top 25 highest-grossing films adjusted for inflation (Worldwide Sales)

1. Gone With the Wind (1939)
2. Star Wars (1977)
3. The Sound of Music (1965)
4. E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial (1982)
5. The Ten Commandments (1956)
6. Titanic (1997)
7. Jaws (1975)
8. Doctor Zhivago (1965)
9. The Exorcist (1973)
10. Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (1937)
11. One Hundred and One Dalmatians (1961)
12. Star Wars: Episode V - The Empire Strikes Back (1980)
13. Ben-Hur (1959)
14. Star Wars: Episode VI - Return of the Jedi (1983)
15. The Sting (1973)
16. Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981)
17. Jurassic Park (1993)
18. The Graduate (1967)
19. Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)
20. Fantasia (1941)
21. The Godfather (1972)
22. Forrest Gump (1994)
23. Mary Poppins (1964)
24. The Lion King (1994)
25. Grease (1978)


Gives such a better perspective when you look at it adjusted for inflation. The box office records are broken every other month nowadays, but clearly not because of how good the movies are. Moreso, how much the tickets to see it cost.

 

For a true analysis, we should take factors like inflation into account. I think it would be better to keep it simple though.

$158.5 million in 3 days, that is amazing.

As for $400 million + it took Shrek 2, 43 days to do this, and Spider-Man, 66 days. If ROTS has made $158.5 Million already, I am sure, if not confident, it will make $400 + million quicker than these films.

It has just been made official ROTS has smashed,
1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th day records.

 

no way the film is good but not that good to breaks the highest ever making money film

 

Dunno. I never go to the cinema, but I've seen RotS a few times now, and have plans to see it 4 times more in the next 2 weeks. It's such a dense film, it demands several viewings - when the showing finished tonight, I wanted to just sit there and see it again - then watch ANH as a come-down. It deserves success - lots of it.

 

It started off well, but its slipping a bit, it failed to break Spiderman's opening weekend record.

 

It has broken the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th day records though.

Some reports claim it has broken the Spider-Man record. Even if it has not that is not a big worry, it still took more in its first 4 days than Spider-Man.

 

It might do well on June 19th...the one month anniversary, but I'd say after next week, on average, it might do around $4 million per day.

 

Well it made 50 million on the opening night in england so it could happen

 

all the above stat are US domestic, I just found out that its worldwide gross so fa is, $303 million.

 

Thats impressive, a lot of films would make that in their whole run, this did it in 4 days

 

Well, the amount of times I plan seeing it, it sure could

 

Anyone know how much it has taken in the UK so far?

 

I do not know the UK stat only US and International, UK stats tend to be a bit slow, give it a day or so.

 

The reason it didn't beat Spider-Man's opening weekend is that it opened on a Thursday instead of a Friday, so less hardcore fans saw it at the weekend. But it still had an amazing opening. I don't think it has a chance of beating Titanic, but it has a good chance of getting in the top 5 films of all time. If it beats TPM and ET I'll be happy

 

In the domestic US box-office, ROTS has the best 4 day opening run of all time.

1st ROTS $158.5 million
2nd SM $130.5 million

Quite a beating


And the Top 3 day

1st ROTS $124 million
2nd SM $114 million

 

I tought ROTS only did $108 million in the US for the 3 day weekend?

Though I also heard that it was a tempory figure and could change, but its quite a jump if it did.

 

For the weekend it only did $108 million, but it made $50 million on the first day (thursady). As a result of the first day, it was given the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th day records.

 

Welshguy, you are right, it only did $108 million for the 3-day weekend

The problem with all the figures in comparison to Spider-man is that SM was released on the classic Friday, and as such the 3-day weekend was also it's opening 3-days.

However, ROTS was released on the Thursday, and as such, it's first 3-days did not equate to the 3-day weekend

As such, a direct comparison, Thurs/Fri/Sat for ROTS, to Fri/Sat/Sun for SM would indicate that ROTS did significantly better, however a comparison of Fri/Sat/Sun for ROTS and Fri/Sat/Sun for SM has Spider-man in the better position.

I would say that it should look purely at the opening 3 days, regardless of what days they were. In that respect, ROTS is $10 million up on Spider-Man.

 

Ahhh! Sorry, I get you now, I had the 3 days the wrong way round

I think ROTS will have a very strong second week in the US and will get a lot more repeat business compaired to the other 2 prequals given its complex plot and stunning visuals.

I think it could make $400 million US domestic easily.

Though I have been known to be wrong about this type of thing... From time to time.

 

Update:

UK stat for first 4 days $27.5 million

 

Just posted: United Kingdom ROTS box-office - $27.5m (first 4 days).

That works out to just over £15m.

Not bad for 4 days, not sure how that stacks up against the record in the UK, but it certainly sounds impressive.


Edit: Done a bit of digging and Harry Potter 3 at £18.5m (including previews) is the highest opening weekend (although, didn't this open on a bank holiday Monday?).

Without previews (regular 3 day weekend), the total was just over £9.6m.

I'm sure that if ROTS opened on a bank holiday Monday, it would have shattered that record.