The pickings are slim. Hobbit 1 squeaked into the billion dollar club. It's possible that Hobbit 2 will do as well, but given the problems with part 1, a box office decline seems just as likely. Unless we're surprised by one of the very few non-sequel movies coming out this year, the only other movies that are possible contenders are: Iron Man 3 No Iron Man movie has ever come close to the $1 billion mark. Yet Marvel is riding the Avengers wave, the most successful comic book movie ever. If Iron Man gets a major Avengers boost, it could do much better than Iron Man 2. Otherwise, it would likely land in the $650-750 million range. Star Trek into Darkness The new Trek franchise has room for improvement. Trek only did $385 million worldwide. Not even break-even for a $150 million movie that likely spent another $50-$75 million or more on marketing. Maybe this one could do $600 million. Hobbit part 2 Hobbit part 2 could do anything from $850 million to $1 billion. It has the best odds, but it comes with serious caveats. There are plenty of disgruntled Hobbit fans out there. Monsters University Pixar is reliable, but their box office clout seems to have taken a nosedive since the Disney acquisition. Every dynasty ends. The Monsters Inc. 3D release barely registered. I don't think this has a shot of doing even as well as Brave, which wasn't all that fantastic. Hunger Games: Catching Fire Hunger Games was a monster $400 million hit domestically, but only did so-so abroad. There's room for a lot of foreign growth. Jennifer Lawrence is hitting a peak on the needle that leaves her dangerously close to being way overexposed and headed toward a Natalie Portman style backlash. But on the other hand, the Hunger Games stories get progressively worse. The sequel is a tired recapitulation of the first novel. The third novel is just plain bizarre. I don't see this hitting a billion. Man of Steel Superman is deader than dead. Thor Thor was a modest worldwide success, barely hitting 3 x its production budget. Unless it gets a major lift on Avengers' coattails, it will not come close to a billion.