Amph The 2023 Box Office Blood Barbie

It wasn't bad back in 2012- the 3D wasn't particularly insane (but I also didn't get a chance to see it in IMAX 3D, so I was stuck with Dolby) but for scenes where the water is at camera-level you get a great sense of environmental depth. And the grander staircase/ballroom-type shots and grander, shots of the ship get a sense of place as well. This new version is supposed to have an HFR conversion, though, so I'm cautious of how that may ruin the experience. But a new remaster in HDR 4K beyond the original 4K remaster from 2012, so I suspect the visuals will at least compensate for any motion issues.

 

As of Wed, Avatar: The Way of Water has passed Spider-Man: No Way Home on the All-Time Worldwide chart.

A2: $930.1m over $1b
NWH: $921.9m over $1b

 

Yeah, any drops it has this week or next won't really shake things up much. First week of Feb has the next real challenger with Knock at the Cabin, followed by Titanic and Magic Mike 3 for Valentines Day. Then Ant-Man definitely takes the top slot the following weekend.

So it won't hold the top slot for more than 4 more weekends, likely only 2- though I can see it edging out Knock, depending on how that is received. If that happens, the only way it gets to 4 weekends is if MM3 & Titanic cannibalize each other by thinning out the romance genre/date crowd enough for A2 to take the top slot.

 

Knock at the Cabin is getting a Dolby release so it'll lose those PLF screens. It'll still have IMAX until Antman though most likely.

 

Thursday Actual for A2: $2m (well, a smidge under, but I round to the nearest hundred-thousand).

D: $578.3m
WW: $952.7m over $1b

So, going into the weekend, it now sits less than $99.2m from surpassing Infinity War to take #5 on the All-Time WW chart. However, the current total, at the end of its 5th week, is now pacing only 10.65% ahead of A1. At the current rate of decline, it looks like it can stay ahead of A1 for at least 3 more weeks, probably 4-5.

 

I'm just curious to see where that threshold ends up being, which is why I'm tracking the numbers so closely. I set the file up for about 50 days as a nice point of comparison because I figured after that you're just looking at those $1m days for a stretch, so it becomes more important to track things on a weekly basis at that point, rather than the minuscule daily changes that aren't likely to affect ranking placements. It also brings us right up to Ant-Man, so there's a nice cut-off point there where we know any meaningful movement can occur.

 

Avatar: The Way of Water has crossed the $2 billion mark at the global box office in a huge win for director James Cameron, who is the only filmmaker to have directed three films achieving the milestone.

Disney announced Sunday that the big-budget sequel will finish the weekend with a global total of $2.024 billion, the top gross of the pandemic era. It has earned $598 million domestically and $1.426 billion overseas, including a hefty $230 million from China.
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If it's at those numbers, it's about $10m away from topping The Incredibles 2 domestically to take the #12 slot. And about $28m away from topping Infinity War worldwide to break into the Top 5.

And, going by an approximation as the charts haven't been fully updated in a couple years on BOM, this would also mean that A2 has killed Bambi to take the 57th spot on the All-Time Domestic Adjusted For Inflation chart.

 

Neither would I- that seems to be the new bar for ultra-blockbuster performance. Franchise films gotta break a billion. Franchise films that break $1.5b have performed well. Peak entries in the biggest franchises have to hit $2b (or near it) to have met expectations at this point.

 

It's going to make another $15m domestic at least next weekend alone, thanks to the holiday on Monday. Possibly very close to the $20m-ish from this past weekend. Then I suspect it'll drop to $10-15m when Knock opens the following weekend. And stay around there for Valentine's Day Weekend (i think we're gonna see a much ore even split across the box office that weekend between the top 5 films, though Titanic and MM3 may have an advantage there). So, $35-40m guaranteed before AM3 hits, plus weekday pulls for domestic. Then it hits the AM3 wall for its final test heading into the tortoise races.