Amph The 2018 Box Office Blood Ocean

Wrinkle topped BP on Friday by about $0.5 million, but that includes the Thursday previews of over a million. So BP should be number one for a fourth week in a row.

 

people by tickets to the rock's movies he's worth the $ he gets paid

 

BP's $41.136 million fourth weekend estimate puts it at 97% of The Force Awakens' fourth weekend. It might still go over with actuals, but in any case, The Force Awakens made an additional $124 million after its fourth weekend. If BP does about that, it will be at nearly $690 million in the U.S., third on the all time domestic chart behind The Force Awakens and Avatar. More impressive, it will have made almost all that money in February and March.

 

People should have learned that with Hidden Figures I would have hoped?

Any predictions on Ready Player One as yet?

 

I look forward to hearing what comes out of that. Getting a Tomorrowland vibe-hoping it's just me.

 

@The2ndQuest

Pacific Rim 2 got the better opening date as March 23rd is the day most schools will be getting off for spring break at least at the elementary and high school levels. WB has not moved off it's $50 million opening weekend position so either their tracking shows something way different or they hope for a late push with Speilberg's name being associated with a 1980's nostalgia will carry them along with WOM.


@firesaber

People should have learn that with Eddie Murphy back in the 1980s LOL!

Edit: Is A Wrinkle in Time really not going to hit $35 million opening weekend?

 

That’s something we should discuss.

 

Black Panther will likely hit $600 million on Sunday, in 31 days, the second fastest behind The Force Awakens. It also seems to be benefiting from spring breakers with small midweek drops from last week. Tomb Raider is at 49% on RT and falling, but it seems on track to win the weekend. Black Panther will keep on blackpanthering on its way to $650 million and beyond.

 

It is certainly amazing that Black Panther is able to sustain its box office dominance for four weeks. I don't think anyone predicted this film to do this well. IIRC, the highest worldwide box office estimates figured the film would end up around the $800 million plateau.

I've only seen the film once. My wife and I were going to watch it last night, but at the last minute my wife just wanted to stay home.

 

Okay, now we have to get down to serious business: is Black Panther going to outgross Avengers: Infinity War?

...I sez no. But it might outgross it domestic but when you add international, IW will be on top.

I also think since BP was at #1 for four weeks that was another reason Disney moved IW a week ahead since they're hoping it'll stay on top for 4 weeks right into Solo (be kinda hard with Deadpool coming in there).

Is there even a wide release slated for IW's old May 4th opening spot? I saw Amy Shummer has something scheduled for April 27th, when it was the week before Infinity War, maybe her movie will move to May now.

 

It was moved when Black Panther was number one for one or two weeks. Please. Think.

 

Some estimates have Black Panther winning a fifth weekend, but it may be very close. Tomb Raider should take Friday, but will lose Saturday and Sunday. Raiders of the Lost Tombs is at 50% RT right now, probably stabilized somewhere around there. Like Wrinkle in Time, Tomb Raider may not make it to $100 million in the U.S. The budget is listed on mojo at $94 million, so it's a relatively inexpensive production. If it does better internationally, it could still make $250 million worldwide or more.

 

Indiewire article that sez the worldwide box office and less North America is officially becoming a thing. Anyone check out the top 2018 worldwide grossers? 3 are China only, holy heck!

http://www.indiewire.com/2018/03/bl...rnational-blockbusters-box-office-1201938517/

It's starting to look like the blockbuster appeal in NA may just end up being Marvel and Star Wars with DCs taking the runner up (barring a Wonder Woman blowup or something). And, y'know, Disney animated/ Pixar/ live action adaptations. It'll be interesting to see how Mary Poppins Returns does.

 

Pacific Rim Uprising features the off-the-charts-charismatic-yet-utterly-wasted-in-The-Last-Jedi John Boyega and maybe will finally take down Black Panther this coming weekend, unless it's bad enough to make less than $18-19 million. It's all but guaranteed to be terrible and looks terrible and there's literally no reason to believe it's not terrible, so we can hold out hope for a 6th Black Panther weekend.

 

Yeah, I really like John Boyega and have high hopes for his career... but Pacific Rim Uprising looks pretty bad. A 30 second ad for it is long enough. Unless it's a big surprise, I can see the early word of mouth against it keeping Black Panther in the top spot for a sixth weekend.

 

@EHT

Pacific Rim 2 is tracking for a $25 million weekend. Unless BP has the greatest hold in history or PR 2 truly misses expectations by a huge mark, BP will take the #2 slot this upcoming weekend.

 

OK... I didn't know what predictions there are for Pacific Rim, I just won't really be surprised by either outcome.

 

Pacific Rim Uprising is the unwanted follow-up to a largely unsuccessful movie that cost too much to make and barely cleared twice its production budget worldwide, meaning that if it made a profit at all it would have been on sales and rentals, which seems plausible. However, the first movie did make $300 million outside the U.S. and might make even more internationally this time around. The clear path to franchise profitability would have been to cut the production budget for uprising to about $120 million.

We haven't seen any reviews yet either, which isn't necessarily the worst possible sign, but might well be.

That said, a $12-$15 million drop from the original movie's opening weekend is probably about right. Black Panther could conceivably make $19-$20 million this coming weekend. So, it might be close. I thought Tomb Raider would be a close call, but BP killed it.

 

I have BP at $14.8 million domestic this weekend. I'm almost my calculation will be within 2%.

It will certainly pass TLJ and Avengers this weekend.